MARA Anchor's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 48 trades in period
+27.80%
Year to Date Return
$13,797.49
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$10,795.87
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
33
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.3/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
33.0/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 32.6
30-Day Momentum
65
+22.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
15
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 65.2
Conf: 1.00×
Accelerating (+33 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,393
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,795.87
Current Value
$13,797.49
Period P&L
$3,001.62
Max Drawdown
-21.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
48
Winners / Losers
19 /
29
Best Trade
+9.67%
Worst Trade
-1.95%
Avg Trade Return
+0.56%
Avg Hold Time
6.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$724,001.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,001.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,001.62
Gross Return
+27.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+27.80%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 48 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,795.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $10.40 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $10.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,883.37 |
+$87.50 (+0.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $10.52 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:35am ET | $10.38 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,743.75 |
$-139.62 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $10.06 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:15am ET | $9.93 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,607.79 |
$-135.96 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:10am ET | $10.25 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:15am ET | $10.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,706.02 |
+$98.23 (+0.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $10.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $10.73 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,594.79 |
$-111.23 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $11.06 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,681.64 |
+$86.85 (+0.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.40 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.63 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,922.99 |
+$241.35 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:20am ET | $10.66 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $10.46 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,718.60 |
$-204.39 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $10.48 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $10.57 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,810.67 |
+$92.07 (+0.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $9.92 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $10.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,925.12 |
+$114.45 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $10.51 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $10.58 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,998.27 |
+$73.15 (+0.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $10.03 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $9.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,863.67 |
$-134.60 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $9.14 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $9.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,012.30 |
+$148.63 (+1.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.80 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $8.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,805.89 |
$-206.41 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $7.78 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $7.66 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,639.33 |
$-166.56 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $7.92 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $7.99 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,732.94 |
+$93.61 (+0.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $7.56 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,877.03 |
+$144.09 (+1.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $7.51 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $7.59 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,004.45 |
+$127.42 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.45 | 1,301 | $10,999.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $8.37 | 1,301 | $10,889.37 | $10,893.86 |
$-110.59 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:30pm ET | $8.38 | 1,299 | $10,886.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.69 | 1,299 | $11,288.31 | $11,295.25 |
+$401.39 (+3.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $8.53 | 1,323 | $11,291.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 11:20am ET | $8.41 | 1,323 | $11,133.04 | $11,136.49 |
$-158.76 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 2:05pm ET | $8.52 | 1,306 | $11,133.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.28 | 1,306 | $12,119.68 | $12,122.52 |
+$986.03 (+8.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:45am ET | $9.39 | 1,291 | $12,116.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 11:55am ET | $9.28 | 1,291 | $11,980.35 | $11,986.84 |
$-135.68 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:55am ET | $9.13 | 1,313 | $11,981.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.04 | 1,313 | $11,869.52 | $11,875.23 |
$-111.61 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.64 | 1,374 | $11,871.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $8.52 | 1,374 | $11,699.61 | $11,703.48 |
$-171.75 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $8.95 | 1,306 | $11,695.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $8.81 | 1,306 | $11,512.39 | $11,520.64 |
$-182.84 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:20am ET | $9.03 | 1,276 | $11,516.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $8.92 | 1,276 | $11,381.92 | $11,386.02 |
$-134.62 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $8.43 | 1,351 | $11,382.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 12:05pm ET | $8.33 | 1,351 | $11,253.83 | $11,257.67 |
$-128.35 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 12:05pm ET | $8.22 | 1,369 | $11,253.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 1:35pm ET | $8.14 | 1,369 | $11,136.82 | $11,141.30 |
$-116.37 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 1:40pm ET | $8.75 | 1,273 | $11,138.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:50pm ET | $8.64 | 1,273 | $10,992.36 | $10,994.91 |
$-146.39 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:50pm ET | $7.73 | 1,422 | $10,987.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $8.15 | 1,422 | $11,590.72 | $11,598.12 |
+$603.21 (+5.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET | $7.76 | 1,495 | $11,595.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $7.64 | 1,495 | $11,429.27 | $11,432.03 |
$-166.09 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 11:25am ET | $8.15 | 1,401 | $11,425.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET | $8.06 | 1,401 | $11,292.06 | $11,298.94 |
$-133.09 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:40pm ET | $8.96 | 1,261 | $11,298.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $8.83 | 1,261 | $11,134.50 | $11,135.01 |
$-163.93 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:30pm ET | $8.60 | 1,294 | $11,128.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.40 | 1,294 | $12,163.60 | $12,170.08 |
+$1,035.07 (+9.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $9.40 | 1,294 | $12,170.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.73 | 1,294 | $12,597.09 | $12,597.10 |
+$427.02 (+3.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $9.31 | 1,353 | $12,589.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $9.19 | 1,353 | $12,440.83 | $12,448.27 |
$-148.83 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $10.68 | 1,165 | $12,442.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET | $10.57 | 1,165 | $12,314.17 | $12,320.24 |
$-128.03 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET | $10.65 | 1,156 | $12,311.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.68 | 1,156 | $13,502.08 | $13,510.92 |
+$1,190.68 (+9.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.30 | 1,195 | $13,507.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $11.19 | 1,195 | $13,366.08 | $13,369.07 |
$-141.85 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $11.36 | 1,177 | $13,366.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $11.14 | 1,177 | $13,105.90 | $13,108.60 |
$-260.47 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 12:30pm ET | $11.94 | 1,098 | $13,104.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 1:00pm ET | $11.75 | 1,098 | $12,903.37 | $12,907.34 |
$-201.26 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $11.98 | 1,077 | $12,902.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $11.81 | 1,077 | $12,724.75 | $12,729.64 |
$-177.70 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 3:35pm ET | $11.64 | 1,093 | $12,722.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.56 | 1,093 | $12,635.08 | $12,642.31 |
$-87.33 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.7d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $10.77 | 1,173 | $12,633.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $10.65 | 1,173 | $12,492.33 | $12,501.43 |
$-140.88 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $10.36 | 1,206 | $12,500.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.11 | 1,206 | $13,404.69 | $13,405.93 |
+$904.50 (+7.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:30am ET | $12.13 | 1,105 | $13,398.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 11:35am ET | $11.99 | 1,105 | $13,254.47 | $13,262.28 |
$-143.65 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $11.52 | 1,151 | $13,253.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $11.98 | 1,151 | $13,788.98 | $13,797.49 |
+$535.21 (+4.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,797.49
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,797.49
Total Return:
+37.97%