MRK Anchor's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 39 trades in period
+3.77%
Year to Date Return
$9,114.70
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$8,783.54
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
13.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 12.9
30-Day Momentum
10
-0.7%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,287
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,783.54
Current Value
$9,114.70
Period P&L
$331.16
Max Drawdown
-19.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
22 /
17
Best Trade
+3.27%
Worst Trade
-1.56%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
16.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$412,102.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$331.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$331.16
Gross Return
+3.77%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.77%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,783.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $106.88 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:55am ET | $107.39 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,825.77 |
+$42.23 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $108.80 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $109.31 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,866.68 |
+$40.91 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:05am ET | $110.01 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:35pm ET | $108.49 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,745.41 |
$-121.27 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:20am ET | $109.39 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:40am ET | $110.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,831.52 |
+$86.11 (+1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $107.70 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:30am ET | $108.58 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,903.68 |
+$72.16 (+0.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $109.68 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:40am ET | $109.36 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,877.76 |
$-25.92 (-0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $110.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:05am ET | $110.45 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,906.16 |
+$28.40 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $107.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $107.91 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,928.30 |
+$22.14 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $107.31 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 12:10pm ET | $107.73 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,963.16 |
+$34.86 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:20am ET | $108.12 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 11:10am ET | $108.72 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,011.95 |
+$48.79 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET | $115.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:05am ET | $114.67 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,917.24 |
$-94.71 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET | $118.03 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $118.82 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,976.12 |
+$58.88 (+0.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.69 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $118.37 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,878.44 |
$-97.68 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $116.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $116.94 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,891.74 |
+$13.30 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 3:45pm ET | $119.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.49 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,093.76 |
+$202.02 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $121.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $122.11 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,121.14 |
+$27.38 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.18 | 79 | $9,020.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.96 | 79 | $9,081.84 | $9,182.76 |
+$61.62 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $118.29 | 77 | $9,108.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.45 | 77 | $8,966.65 | $9,040.69 |
$-142.07 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.71 | 78 | $8,947.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.32 | 78 | $9,150.57 | $9,243.49 |
+$202.80 (+2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $115.83 | 79 | $9,150.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $114.57 | 79 | $9,051.03 | $9,143.95 |
$-99.54 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 1:00pm ET | $115.38 | 79 | $9,114.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $115.07 | 79 | $9,090.92 | $9,120.25 |
$-23.70 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:30am ET | $114.18 | 79 | $9,020.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.25 | 79 | $9,025.75 | $9,125.39 |
+$5.14 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $115.86 | 78 | $9,037.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.86 | 78 | $8,959.08 | $9,047.39 |
$-78.00 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 1:40pm ET | $119.58 | 75 | $8,968.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.46 | 75 | $8,959.87 | $9,038.39 |
$-9.00 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 12:45pm ET | $120.35 | 75 | $9,026.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.90 | 75 | $9,067.87 | $9,080.02 |
+$41.63 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 1:20pm ET | $120.05 | 75 | $9,003.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $121.36 | 75 | $9,101.63 | $9,177.90 |
+$97.88 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.49 | 76 | $9,156.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.49 | 76 | $9,157.24 | $9,178.28 |
+$0.38 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.08 | 77 | $9,092.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 12:00pm ET | $116.63 | 77 | $8,980.51 | $9,066.63 |
$-111.65 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:50pm ET | $122.99 | 73 | $8,978.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.90 | 73 | $8,971.70 | $9,060.06 |
$-6.57 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $121.51 | 74 | $8,992.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.74 | 74 | $8,934.76 | $9,002.71 |
$-57.35 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.87 | 75 | $8,915.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.86 | 75 | $8,989.50 | $9,077.09 |
+$74.38 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.21 | 77 | $9,025.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $115.69 | 77 | $8,908.51 | $8,960.44 |
$-116.65 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.04 | 75 | $8,853.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.53 | 75 | $8,739.38 | $8,846.82 |
$-113.62 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $112.10 | 78 | $8,743.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $113.36 | 78 | $8,842.47 | $8,945.46 |
+$98.64 (+1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $113.74 | 78 | $8,871.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $112.54 | 78 | $8,778.12 | $8,851.86 |
$-93.60 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $111.84 | 79 | $8,835.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:20pm ET | $110.70 | 79 | $8,745.30 | $8,761.80 |
$-90.06 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:30pm ET | $109.88 | 79 | $8,680.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.22 | 79 | $8,549.38 | $8,630.66 |
$-131.14 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $108.99 | 79 | $8,610.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.56 | 79 | $8,891.85 | $8,912.30 |
+$281.64 (+3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $111.27 | 80 | $8,901.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $113.80 | 80 | $9,104.00 | $9,114.70 |
+$202.40 (+2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,114.70
Net Profit/Loss:
$-885.30
Total Return:
-8.85%