MS Anchor's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 39 trades in period
+18.82%
Year to Date Return
$12,225.23
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$10,289.20
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.2/35
Total Return
11.4/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
35.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 35.6
30-Day Momentum
81
+16.5%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
4.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 87.5
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+46 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,201
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
89 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,289.20
Current Value
$12,225.23
Period P&L
$1,936.03
Max Drawdown
-10.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
22 /
17
Best Trade
+6.74%
Worst Trade
-2.28%
Avg Trade Return
+0.46%
Avg Hold Time
17.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$495,258.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,936.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,936.03
Gross Return
+18.82%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.82%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 89 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,289.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:10am ET | $184.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:50am ET | $185.68 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,340.08 |
+$50.88 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:10am ET | $184.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:15am ET | $184.98 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,394.96 |
+$54.88 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $184.87 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $182.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,277.50 |
$-117.46 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:55am ET | $179.35 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $180.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,351.31 |
+$73.81 (+0.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:50am ET | $184.25 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 12:05pm ET | $185.33 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,411.81 |
+$60.50 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $182.12 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 1:25pm ET | $183.46 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,487.91 |
+$76.10 (+0.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $182.62 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $183.22 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,522.11 |
+$34.20 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:20pm ET | $181.52 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 1:50pm ET | $182.20 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,560.77 |
+$38.66 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:45pm ET | $180.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:35pm ET | $181.60 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,617.03 |
+$56.26 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $182.95 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 11:00am ET | $180.28 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,462.46 |
$-154.57 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $186.09 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:15am ET | $183.29 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,305.66 |
$-156.80 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $180.42 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $181.39 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,361.14 |
+$55.48 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $176.25 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $174.13 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,238.18 |
$-122.96 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $180.22 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:10am ET | $177.93 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,109.66 |
$-128.52 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $177.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:25am ET | $175.97 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,009.42 |
$-100.24 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:25am ET | $176.35 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:50am ET | $173.80 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,866.90 |
$-142.52 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.51 | 61 | $9,730.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $155.88 | 61 | $9,508.38 | $9,645.17 |
$-221.73 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $157.20 | 61 | $9,589.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $155.32 | 61 | $9,474.52 | $9,530.49 |
$-114.68 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $162.04 | 58 | $9,398.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.02 | 58 | $9,281.45 | $9,413.91 |
$-116.58 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.64 | 61 | $9,372.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.15 | 61 | $9,464.15 | $9,506.02 |
+$92.11 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $156.48 | 60 | $9,388.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.30 | 60 | $9,438.30 | $9,555.52 |
+$49.50 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.57 | 60 | $9,454.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.97 | 60 | $9,418.20 | $9,519.22 |
$-36.30 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $157.57 | 60 | $9,454.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $165.34 | 60 | $9,920.40 | $9,985.12 |
+$465.90 (+4.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.63 | 61 | $9,920.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $167.26 | 61 | $10,202.86 | $10,267.55 |
+$282.43 (+2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.88 | 62 | $10,222.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:25pm ET | $163.16 | 62 | $10,115.92 | $10,160.91 |
$-106.64 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $159.16 | 63 | $10,027.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.76 | 63 | $10,064.88 | $10,198.40 |
+$37.49 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:25pm ET | $164.22 | 62 | $10,181.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $168.99 | 62 | $10,477.32 | $10,494.08 |
+$295.68 (+2.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.49 | 64 | $10,399.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.98 | 64 | $10,686.71 | $10,781.75 |
+$287.67 (+2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $165.79 | 65 | $10,776.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.96 | 65 | $11,502.40 | $11,507.82 |
+$726.07 (+6.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.31 | 65 | $11,395.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $178.13 | 65 | $11,578.77 | $11,691.44 |
+$183.62 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.70 | 66 | $11,596.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.41 | 66 | $12,039.39 | $12,134.64 |
+$443.20 (+3.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:30am ET | $191.57 | 63 | $12,068.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.37 | 63 | $12,056.00 | $12,122.04 |
$-12.60 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $190.52 | 63 | $12,002.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.46 | 63 | $11,872.67 | $11,991.94 |
$-130.10 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $190.95 | 62 | $11,838.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $188.85 | 62 | $11,708.70 | $11,861.74 |
$-130.20 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:45pm ET | $191.38 | 61 | $11,674.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.25 | 61 | $11,666.25 | $11,853.81 |
$-7.93 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.8h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $187.12 | 63 | $11,788.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.61 | 63 | $11,945.43 | $12,010.68 |
+$156.87 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $189.68 | 63 | $11,949.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $190.51 | 63 | $12,001.82 | $12,062.66 |
+$51.98 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.14 | 64 | $11,912.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $190.61 | 64 | $12,199.04 | $12,348.73 |
+$286.07 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.36 | 65 | $12,308.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $187.46 | 65 | $12,184.90 | $12,225.23 |
$-123.50 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,225.23
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,225.23
Total Return:
+22.25%