Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 07:59:23

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.0/35
Total Return
11.7/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 36.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 36.4

30-Day Momentum

13
+0.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.5 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,619
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
120 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,289.20
Current Value
$12,477.47
Period P&L
$2,188.27
Max Drawdown
-10.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
56
Winners / Losers
32 / 24
Best Trade
+6.74%
Worst Trade
-2.28%
Avg Trade Return
+0.36%
Avg Hold Time
20.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$914,279.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,188.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,188.27
Gross Return
+21.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 120 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 56 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,289.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:10am ET $184.76 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:50am ET $185.68 0 $0.00 $10,340.08 +$50.88
(+0.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:10am ET $184.00 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:15am ET $184.98 0 $0.00 $10,394.96 +$54.88
(+0.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $184.87 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $182.77 0 $0.00 $10,277.50 $-117.46
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:55am ET $179.35 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:10am ET $180.64 0 $0.00 $10,351.31 +$73.81
(+0.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:50am ET $184.25 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 12:05pm ET $185.33 0 $0.00 $10,411.81 +$60.50
(+0.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $182.12 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $183.46 0 $0.00 $10,487.91 +$76.10
(+0.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:45am ET $182.62 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:45am ET $183.22 0 $0.00 $10,522.11 +$34.20
(+0.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $181.52 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $182.20 0 $0.00 $10,560.77 +$38.66
(+0.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:45pm ET $180.63 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:35pm ET $181.60 0 $0.00 $10,617.03 +$56.26
(+0.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:50am ET $182.95 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 11:00am ET $180.28 0 $0.00 $10,462.46 $-154.57
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET $186.09 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:15am ET $183.29 0 $0.00 $10,305.66 $-156.80
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET $180.42 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:15am ET $181.39 0 $0.00 $10,361.14 +$55.48
(+0.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $176.25 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:15am ET $174.13 0 $0.00 $10,238.18 $-122.96
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET $180.22 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:10am ET $177.93 0 $0.00 $10,109.66 $-128.52
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:50am ET $177.76 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:25am ET $175.97 0 $0.00 $10,009.42 $-100.24
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:25am ET $176.35 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:50am ET $173.80 0 $0.00 $9,866.90 $-142.52
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $159.51 61 $9,730.11
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $155.88 61 $9,508.38 $9,645.17 $-221.73
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $157.20 61 $9,589.20
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET $155.32 61 $9,474.52 $9,530.49 $-114.68
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $162.04 58 $9,398.03
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $160.02 58 $9,281.45 $9,413.91 $-116.58
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $153.64 61 $9,372.04
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $155.15 61 $9,464.15 $9,506.02 +$92.11
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $156.48 60 $9,388.80
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $157.30 60 $9,438.30 $9,555.52 +$49.50
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $157.57 60 $9,454.50
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $156.97 60 $9,418.20 $9,519.22 $-36.30
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $157.57 60 $9,454.50
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $165.34 60 $9,920.40 $9,985.12 +$465.90
(+4.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $162.63 61 $9,920.43
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $167.26 61 $10,202.86 $10,267.55 +$282.43
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $164.88 62 $10,222.56
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $163.16 62 $10,115.92 $10,160.91 $-106.64
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $159.16 63 $10,027.39
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $159.76 63 $10,064.88 $10,198.40 +$37.49
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 3:25pm ET $164.22 62 $10,181.64
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $168.99 62 $10,477.32 $10,494.08 +$295.68
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18.1h held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $162.49 64 $10,399.05
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $166.98 64 $10,686.71 $10,781.75 +$287.67
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $165.79 65 $10,776.33
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $176.96 65 $11,502.40 $11,507.82 +$726.07
(+6.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $175.31 65 $11,395.15
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $178.13 65 $11,578.77 $11,691.44 +$183.62
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
31 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $175.70 66 $11,596.19
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $182.41 66 $12,039.39 $12,134.64 +$443.20
(+3.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
32 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:30am ET $191.57 63 $12,068.60
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $191.37 63 $12,056.00 $12,122.04 $-12.60
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22h held
33 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $190.52 63 $12,002.76
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $188.46 63 $11,872.67 $11,991.94 $-130.10
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
34 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:50am ET $190.95 62 $11,838.90
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $188.85 62 $11,708.70 $11,861.74 $-130.20
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
35 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:45pm ET $191.38 61 $11,674.18
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $191.25 61 $11,666.25 $11,853.81 $-7.93
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.8h held
36 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET $187.12 63 $11,788.56
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $189.61 63 $11,945.43 $12,010.68 +$156.87
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
37 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:15am ET $189.68 63 $11,949.84
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $190.51 63 $12,001.82 $12,062.66 +$51.98
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.3h held
38 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $186.14 64 $11,912.97
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $190.61 64 $12,199.04 $12,348.73 +$286.07
(+2.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
39 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $189.36 65 $12,308.40
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:40am ET $187.46 65 $12,184.90 $12,225.23 $-123.50
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
40 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $189.58 64 $12,133.12
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $193.60 64 $12,390.40 $12,482.51 +$257.28
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held
41 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $192.94 64 $12,348.16
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:25am ET $191.00 64 $12,224.00 $12,358.35 $-124.16
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
42 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 11:25am ET $192.43 64 $12,315.20
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $192.53 64 $12,321.92 $12,365.07 +$6.72
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
43 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $187.83 65 $12,208.95
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $190.70 65 $12,395.50 $12,551.62 +$186.55
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
44 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 10:25am ET $194.18 64 $12,427.52
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $194.43 64 $12,443.20 $12,567.30 +$15.68
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.1h held
45 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:45am ET $192.33 65 $12,501.45
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $189.99 65 $12,349.67 $12,415.52 $-151.78
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
46 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 2:00pm ET $196.83 63 $12,400.29
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $197.68 63 $12,453.84 $12,469.07 +$53.55
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.5h held
47 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $202.27 61 $12,338.77
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $202.38 61 $12,345.48 $12,475.78 +$6.71
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
48 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $199.24 62 $12,353.14
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $199.92 62 $12,395.04 $12,517.68 +$41.90
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held
49 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $207.30 60 $12,438.00
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $207.61 60 $12,456.60 $12,536.28 +$18.60
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
50 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $216.12 58 $12,534.96
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $213.08 58 $12,358.52 $12,359.84 $-176.44
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
51 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $217.51 56 $12,180.56
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $215.72 56 $12,080.32 $12,259.60 $-100.24
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20h held
52 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:35am ET $214.51 57 $12,227.35
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $212.31 57 $12,101.67 $12,133.91 $-125.69
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
53 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $209.38 57 $11,934.94
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $208.75 57 $11,898.75 $12,097.72 $-36.19
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
18h held
54 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:20am ET $207.97 58 $12,062.26
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $215.79 58 $12,515.82 $12,551.28 +$453.56
(+3.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.2h held
55 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:00pm ET $219.60 57 $12,517.20
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $220.51 57 $12,569.07 $12,603.15 +$51.87
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.5h held
56 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:05pm ET $226.59 55 $12,462.45
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $224.30 55 $12,336.77 $12,477.47 $-125.68
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,477.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,477.47
Total Return: +24.77%
Back to Anchor