PEP Anchor's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 37 trades in period
+1.50%
Year to Date Return
$8,892.64
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$8,760.95
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality
11.5/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 11.5
30-Day Momentum
14
+0.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.1
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,500
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
89 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$8,760.95
Current Value
$8,892.64
Period P&L
$131.69
Max Drawdown
-18.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
22 /
15
Best Trade
+1.36%
Worst Trade
-1.21%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
14.8h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$443,020.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$131.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$131.69
Gross Return
+1.50%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.50%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 89 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $8,760.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $139.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 11:25am ET | $140.45 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,804.35 |
+$43.40 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:20am ET | $137.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 12:05pm ET | $138.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,833.96 |
+$29.61 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $146.25 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $146.31 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,837.56 |
+$3.60 (+0.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $146.45 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $146.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,819.26 |
$-18.30 (-0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $145.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $146.47 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,861.86 |
+$42.60 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 12:50pm ET | $148.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.52 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,929.86 |
+$68.00 (+0.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $148.69 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $149.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,949.66 |
+$19.80 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:55am ET | $159.12 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:05am ET | $160.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,000.06 |
+$50.40 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:20am ET | $165.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $166.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,032.46 |
+$32.40 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $165.35 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $166.25 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,081.06 |
+$48.60 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $168.89 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:25am ET | $169.83 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,130.88 |
+$49.82 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $165.42 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $166.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,181.76 |
+$50.88 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $158.25 | 58 | $9,178.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $156.66 | 58 | $9,086.28 | $9,089.54 |
$-92.22 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $160.53 | 56 | $8,989.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $161.02 | 56 | $9,017.12 | $9,116.98 |
+$27.44 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.9h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.29 | 56 | $8,975.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:10am ET | $158.51 | 56 | $8,876.84 | $9,017.86 |
$-99.12 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 11:55am ET | $160.35 | 56 | $8,979.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.04 | 56 | $8,962.24 | $9,000.78 |
$-17.08 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $159.66 | 56 | $8,941.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 1:50pm ET | $157.96 | 56 | $8,845.76 | $8,905.30 |
$-95.48 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 3:40pm ET | $156.76 | 56 | $8,778.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.25 | 56 | $8,694.00 | $8,821.02 |
$-84.28 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $153.54 | 57 | $8,751.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.74 | 57 | $8,706.18 | $8,775.42 |
$-45.60 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 12:10pm ET | $150.45 | 58 | $8,726.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $150.34 | 58 | $8,719.72 | $8,769.04 |
$-6.38 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $150.52 | 58 | $8,730.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.93 | 58 | $8,811.94 | $8,850.82 |
+$81.78 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:45pm ET | $153.16 | 57 | $8,730.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.00 | 57 | $8,778.00 | $8,898.70 |
+$47.88 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.7d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.76 | 56 | $8,778.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET | $155.17 | 56 | $8,689.52 | $8,809.66 |
$-89.04 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 12:05pm ET | $153.90 | 57 | $8,772.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.69 | 57 | $8,817.33 | $8,854.97 |
+$45.31 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $155.71 | 56 | $8,719.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.43 | 56 | $8,760.08 | $8,895.29 |
+$40.32 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.75 | 58 | $8,801.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.82 | 58 | $8,921.27 | $9,014.90 |
+$119.61 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $157.19 | 57 | $8,959.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.90 | 57 | $8,943.58 | $8,998.65 |
$-16.25 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.73 | 58 | $8,974.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.00 | 58 | $8,990.00 | $9,014.31 |
+$15.66 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 11:40am ET | $157.71 | 57 | $8,989.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $158.32 | 57 | $9,024.24 | $9,049.37 |
+$35.06 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:55am ET | $157.37 | 57 | $8,970.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.74 | 57 | $8,934.18 | $9,013.46 |
$-35.91 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:50am ET | $155.87 | 57 | $8,884.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 1:55pm ET | $153.98 | 57 | $8,776.80 | $8,905.67 |
$-107.79 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 3:40pm ET | $156.04 | 57 | $8,894.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.92 | 57 | $8,887.44 | $8,898.82 |
$-6.85 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 11:10am ET | $155.46 | 57 | $8,861.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.74 | 57 | $8,933.90 | $8,971.49 |
+$72.67 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.53 | 57 | $8,865.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:35am ET | $153.73 | 57 | $8,762.33 | $8,868.61 |
$-102.88 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $157.44 | 56 | $8,816.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.02 | 56 | $8,905.12 | $8,957.09 |
+$88.48 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.2h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $155.70 | 57 | $8,874.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 2:25pm ET | $154.11 | 57 | $8,784.13 | $8,866.32 |
$-90.77 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:50pm ET | $155.56 | 56 | $8,711.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.03 | 56 | $8,737.68 | $8,892.64 |
+$26.32 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
17.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,892.64
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,107.36
Total Return:
-11.07%