PFE Anchor's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 35 trades in period
+1.24%
Year to Date Return
$9,692.89
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$9,574.08
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
9.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
14.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 14.7
30-Day Momentum
13
-2.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8
Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,102
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,574.08
Current Value
$9,692.89
Period P&L
$118.81
Max Drawdown
-9.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
21 /
14
Best Trade
+2.24%
Worst Trade
-1.38%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
19.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$433,402.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$118.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$118.81
Gross Return
+1.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.24%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 35 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,574.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $25.05 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $25.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,610.37 |
+$36.29 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 12:40pm ET | $25.56 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $25.71 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,668.46 |
+$58.09 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:50am ET | $25.51 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:35pm ET | $25.24 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,566.17 |
$-102.29 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $25.24 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:45pm ET | $25.34 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,602.46 |
+$36.29 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 12:55pm ET | $25.28 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $25.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,541.82 |
$-60.64 (-0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $25.30 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $25.45 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,594.75 |
+$52.93 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $25.60 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:10am ET | $25.76 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,654.66 |
+$59.91 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $26.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:10pm ET | $25.79 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,540.27 |
$-114.39 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $25.92 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $26.04 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,584.47 |
+$44.20 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $26.81 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 12:25pm ET | $26.95 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,636.24 |
+$51.77 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $26.91 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:50pm ET | $27.01 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,673.87 |
+$37.63 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $27.47 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,782.99 |
+$109.12 (+1.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $27.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $27.61 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,779.45 |
$-3.54 (-0.0%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.46 | 369 | $9,763.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.95 | 369 | $9,944.55 | $9,960.26 |
+$180.81 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $26.58 | 374 | $9,942.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.18 | 374 | $10,165.32 | $10,182.79 |
+$222.53 (+2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.02 | 376 | $10,159.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 12:10pm ET | $26.69 | 376 | $10,033.90 | $10,057.17 |
$-125.62 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 2:30pm ET | $26.69 | 376 | $10,035.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.69 | 376 | $10,037.32 | $10,059.09 |
+$1.92 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:55am ET | $27.16 | 370 | $10,047.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.23 | 370 | $10,075.10 | $10,086.84 |
+$27.75 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 11:05am ET | $27.32 | 369 | $10,081.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.37 | 369 | $10,099.53 | $10,105.29 |
+$18.45 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:55am ET | $26.85 | 376 | $10,097.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.52 | 376 | $9,971.52 | $9,979.33 |
$-125.96 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 1:40pm ET | $27.40 | 364 | $9,971.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.31 | 364 | $9,940.84 | $9,948.39 |
$-30.94 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $27.50 | 361 | $9,929.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:35pm ET | $27.21 | 361 | $9,822.81 | $9,841.89 |
$-106.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $27.88 | 353 | $9,841.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.27 | 353 | $9,979.31 | $9,979.56 |
+$137.67 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.6h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.48 | 350 | $9,968.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $28.15 | 350 | $9,852.50 | $9,864.06 |
$-115.50 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.53 | 358 | $9,855.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $27.17 | 358 | $9,728.65 | $9,736.97 |
$-127.09 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $27.02 | 360 | $9,729.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.22 | 360 | $9,799.20 | $9,807.17 |
+$70.20 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.12 | 361 | $9,790.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 3:15pm ET | $26.84 | 361 | $9,689.24 | $9,706.09 |
$-101.08 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:35pm ET | $27.21 | 356 | $9,686.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.24 | 356 | $9,697.44 | $9,716.77 |
+$10.68 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $27.26 | 356 | $9,704.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.31 | 356 | $9,722.36 | $9,734.57 |
+$17.80 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 12:55pm ET | $27.74 | 350 | $9,707.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.55 | 350 | $9,640.75 | $9,668.07 |
$-66.50 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.36 | 353 | $9,658.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $27.08 | 353 | $9,557.48 | $9,567.47 |
$-100.60 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $26.53 | 360 | $9,552.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.73 | 360 | $9,622.80 | $9,637.67 |
+$70.20 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.7h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.90 | 358 | $9,630.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.32 | 358 | $9,780.56 | $9,788.03 |
+$150.36 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.22 | 373 | $9,781.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.33 | 373 | $9,821.09 | $9,827.94 |
+$39.91 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.51 | 370 | $9,810.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.15 | 370 | $9,675.50 | $9,692.89 |
$-135.05 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,692.89
Net Profit/Loss:
$-307.11
Total Return:
-3.07%