Compendium › Anchor › SPY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SPY
Alpaca Tradeable

Anchor's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 29 trades in period

-3.60%
Year to Date Return
$10,039.08
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$10,414.08
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-2.6%
5d Trend
-2.0%
EMA20 Dist
-1.7%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
54%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.2/35
Total Return
1.2/25
Win Rate
9.6/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 17.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 17.4

30-Day Momentum

29
+1.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 32.7 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,423
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,414.08
Current Value
$10,039.08
Period P&L
$-375.00
Max Drawdown
-7.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
14 / 15
Best Trade
+1.13%
Worst Trade
-1.50%
Avg Trade Return
-0.13%
Avg Hold Time
22.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$412,349.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-375.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-375.00
Gross Return
-3.60%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,414.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $678.90 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $680.12 0 $0.00 $10,432.38 +$18.30
(+0.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $678.37 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $684.40 0 $0.00 $10,522.83 +$90.45
(+0.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET $689.17 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 12:05pm ET $689.62 0 $0.00 $10,529.58 +$6.75
(+0.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $689.12 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET $690.62 0 $0.00 $10,552.08 +$22.50
(+0.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:45am ET $684.82 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 2:45pm ET $687.27 0 $0.00 $10,588.83 +$36.75
(+0.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $676.86 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET $679.10 0 $0.00 $10,622.43 +$33.60
(+0.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $690.77 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:20am ET $693.29 0 $0.00 $10,660.30 +$37.87
(+0.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:55am ET $688.65 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $681.73 0 $0.00 $10,556.50 $-103.80
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $673.80 15 $10,107.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $666.94 15 $10,004.10 $10,453.60 $-102.90
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $680.23 15 $10,203.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $677.82 15 $10,167.30 $10,417.45 $-36.15
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $670.55 15 $10,058.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $669.88 15 $10,048.20 $10,407.40 $-10.05
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $668.36 15 $10,025.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $672.15 15 $10,082.25 $10,464.25 +$56.85
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $668.79 15 $10,031.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $661.79 15 $9,926.85 $10,359.25 $-105.00
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $656.42 15 $9,846.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $649.23 15 $9,738.45 $10,251.40 $-107.85
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $657.47 15 $9,862.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $650.93 15 $9,763.91 $10,153.26 $-98.14
(-1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
18h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $656.63 15 $9,849.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $651.45 15 $9,771.75 $10,075.56 $-77.70
(-0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $642.38 15 $9,635.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $635.91 15 $9,538.65 $9,978.51 $-97.05
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:05pm ET $633.38 15 $9,500.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $639.36 15 $9,590.40 $10,068.21 +$89.70
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
19.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $656.73 15 $9,850.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $646.86 15 $9,702.90 $9,920.16 $-148.05
(-1.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET $656.84 15 $9,852.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $656.80 15 $9,852.00 $9,919.56 $-0.60
(-0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.1h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET $672.60 14 $9,416.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $674.90 14 $9,448.60 $9,951.76 +$32.20
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET $680.16 14 $9,522.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $677.71 14 $9,487.94 $9,917.46 $-34.30
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $692.96 14 $9,701.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $695.29 14 $9,734.06 $9,950.15 +$32.69
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
19.2h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $698.61 14 $9,780.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $706.49 14 $9,890.86 $10,060.47 +$110.32
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $709.06 14 $9,926.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $710.28 14 $9,943.92 $10,077.55 +$17.08
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 11:40am ET $709.72 14 $9,936.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $709.35 14 $9,930.86 $10,072.40 $-5.15
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $712.98 14 $9,981.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $713.14 14 $9,983.96 $10,074.64 +$2.24
(+0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $711.09 14 $9,955.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $710.53 14 $9,947.49 $10,066.90 $-7.74
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
29 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:05am ET $722.25 13 $9,389.25 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $720.11 13 $9,361.43 $10,039.08 $-27.82
(-0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,039.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$39.08
Total Return: +0.39%
Back to Anchor