TQQQ Anchor's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 44 trades in period
-11.54%
Year to Date Return
$6,989.46
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$7,900.87
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality
10.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 10.8
30-Day Momentum
42
+5.5%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 45.5
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+31 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,480
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$7,900.87
Current Value
$6,989.46
Period P&L
$-911.41
Max Drawdown
-26.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
19 /
25
Best Trade
+4.96%
Worst Trade
-2.90%
Avg Trade Return
-0.27%
Avg Hold Time
10.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$364,197.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-911.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$-911.41
Gross Return
-11.54%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.54%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $7,900.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:15pm ET | $53.54 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.99 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,967.02 |
+$66.15 (+0.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $54.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 12:05pm ET | $54.37 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,010.37 |
+$43.35 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 3:30pm ET | $55.20 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.38 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,890.74 |
$-119.63 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $53.82 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:05am ET | $54.19 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,944.75 |
+$54.01 (+0.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $53.96 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $54.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,041.20 |
+$96.45 (+1.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $55.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $55.04 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,950.47 |
$-90.73 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $55.04 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:55am ET | $55.42 | 0 | $0.00 | $8,005.19 |
+$54.72 (+0.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 9:50am ET | $54.81 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:15am ET | $54.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,904.17 |
$-101.02 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:50am ET | $51.49 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $50.83 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,801.92 |
$-102.25 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $57.34 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:50pm ET | $57.39 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,808.04 |
+$6.12 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $56.27 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:50am ET | $55.70 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,729.39 |
$-78.65 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $54.99 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:05am ET | $55.37 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,782.56 |
+$53.17 (+0.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $50.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET | $51.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,825.88 |
+$43.32 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $48.40 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $47.83 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,734.13 |
$-91.75 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $48.56 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $48.85 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,779.99 |
+$45.86 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $51.81 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $52.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,826.72 |
+$46.73 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $51.20 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $50.49 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,718.80 |
$-107.92 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $47.74 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $47.98 | 0 | $0.00 | $7,758.24 |
+$39.44 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.08 | 154 | $7,711.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $49.37 | 154 | $7,602.98 | $7,649.67 |
$-108.57 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 12:25pm ET | $48.42 | 157 | $7,601.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $47.67 | 157 | $7,484.97 | $7,533.21 |
$-116.46 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 12:05pm ET | $50.05 | 150 | $7,507.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:25pm ET | $49.40 | 150 | $7,409.25 | $7,434.97 |
$-98.23 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.37 | 153 | $7,400.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $47.52 | 153 | $7,270.56 | $7,304.92 |
$-130.05 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $47.07 | 155 | $7,295.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $46.47 | 155 | $7,203.62 | $7,213.01 |
$-91.92 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:20pm ET | $47.25 | 152 | $7,182.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.44 | 152 | $7,362.88 | $7,393.60 |
+$180.59 (+2.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.79 | 154 | $7,359.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 10:25am ET | $47.10 | 154 | $7,254.17 | $7,288.11 |
$-105.49 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 11:30am ET | $44.81 | 162 | $7,260.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.73 | 162 | $7,246.26 | $7,274.34 |
$-13.77 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:35am ET | $45.61 | 159 | $7,251.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $44.73 | 159 | $7,112.07 | $7,134.42 |
$-139.92 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $44.03 | 162 | $7,133.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $43.49 | 162 | $7,045.38 | $7,046.37 |
$-88.05 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 2:45pm ET | $44.49 | 158 | $7,029.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.20 | 158 | $6,825.60 | $6,842.57 |
$-203.80 (-2.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.44 | 169 | $6,834.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $40.00 | 169 | $6,760.00 | $6,768.21 |
$-74.36 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $38.60 | 175 | $6,754.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:30pm ET | $38.17 | 175 | $6,679.75 | $6,692.98 |
$-75.23 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:35pm ET | $43.77 | 152 | $6,653.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $43.31 | 152 | $6,583.41 | $6,623.33 |
$-69.65 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $43.66 | 151 | $6,592.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.68 | 151 | $6,595.68 | $6,626.35 |
+$3.02 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.1h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET | $47.47 | 139 | $6,599.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.10 | 139 | $6,685.90 | $6,713.23 |
+$86.88 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $49.20 | 136 | $6,691.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.85 | 136 | $6,643.60 | $6,665.63 |
$-47.60 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET | $52.90 | 126 | $6,665.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.65 | 126 | $6,760.53 | $6,760.76 |
+$95.13 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $55.13 | 122 | $6,726.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.87 | 122 | $7,060.14 | $7,094.43 |
+$333.67 (+5.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $58.04 | 122 | $7,080.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $57.16 | 122 | $6,973.52 | $6,987.08 |
$-107.35 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $57.64 | 121 | $6,974.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $57.01 | 121 | $6,898.08 | $6,910.72 |
$-76.36 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.72 | 115 | $6,867.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $58.93 | 115 | $6,776.95 | $6,819.87 |
$-90.85 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:30pm ET | $62.21 | 109 | $6,780.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.46 | 109 | $6,808.14 | $6,847.66 |
+$27.79 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.58 | 113 | $6,845.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $59.92 | 113 | $6,770.96 | $6,773.08 |
$-74.58 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET | $61.01 | 111 | $6,771.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.73 | 111 | $6,963.03 | $6,964.55 |
+$191.47 (+2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.6h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 12:45pm ET | $65.21 | 106 | $6,912.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.44 | 106 | $6,937.17 | $6,989.46 |
+$24.91 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,989.46
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,010.54
Total Return:
-30.11%