USO Anchor's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 43 trades in period
+31.30%
Year to Date Return
$13,580.25
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$10,445.58
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
42
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
11.4/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
9.2/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
42.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 41.8
30-Day Momentum
35
+4.6%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 36.2
Conf: 0.98×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,821
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,445.58
Current Value
$13,580.25
Period P&L
$3,269.67
Max Drawdown
-11.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
25 /
18
Best Trade
+13.38%
Worst Trade
-6.78%
Avg Trade Return
+0.66%
Avg Hold Time
19.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$700,339.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,269.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,269.67
Gross Return
+31.30%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.30%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,445.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 1:05pm ET | $69.36 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.46 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,310.58 |
$-135.00 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $69.29 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $69.72 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,374.21 |
+$63.63 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $69.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $70.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,426.01 |
+$51.80 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:05pm ET | $67.58 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:50pm ET | $67.82 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,462.97 |
+$36.96 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 12:50pm ET | $73.15 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 1:00pm ET | $73.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,530.18 |
+$67.21 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $73.73 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:15am ET | $74.18 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,594.08 |
+$63.90 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:25pm ET | $71.68 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.91 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,774.89 |
+$180.81 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 3:00pm ET | $72.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.99 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,867.39 |
+$92.50 (+0.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:40pm ET | $71.55 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.91 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,223.75 |
+$356.36 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 12:10pm ET | $75.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 1:30pm ET | $76.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,294.79 |
+$71.04 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $79.54 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:20am ET | $78.73 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,180.07 |
$-114.72 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 12:15pm ET | $78.48 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 2:15pm ET | $78.82 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,227.64 |
+$47.57 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $76.41 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:40am ET | $76.78 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,281.66 |
+$54.02 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:00pm ET | $76.88 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.99 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,297.72 |
+$16.06 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $77.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $77.86 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,331.07 |
+$33.35 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $79.22 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 11:30am ET | $79.11 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,316.05 |
$-15.02 (-0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $77.16 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 11:50am ET | $76.18 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,172.97 |
$-143.08 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $105.10 | 106 | $11,140.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.16 | 106 | $12,630.96 | $12,663.33 |
+$1,490.36 (+13.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:45am ET | $101.86 | 124 | $12,630.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 12:55pm ET | $100.62 | 124 | $12,476.88 | $12,509.57 |
$-153.76 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 1:00pm ET | $106.61 | 117 | $12,472.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $115.68 | 117 | $13,534.30 | $13,571.09 |
+$1,061.52 (+8.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.94 | 118 | $13,562.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.93 | 118 | $13,797.74 | $13,805.91 |
+$234.82 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $116.54 | 118 | $13,751.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $121.16 | 118 | $14,296.88 | $14,351.07 |
+$545.16 (+4.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:50am ET | $119.94 | 119 | $14,272.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 1:30pm ET | $118.70 | 119 | $14,125.30 | $14,203.51 |
$-147.56 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:05pm ET | $121.38 | 117 | $14,201.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $113.15 | 117 | $13,238.55 | $13,240.60 |
$-962.91 (-6.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 11:00am ET | $113.14 | 117 | $13,237.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $109.13 | 117 | $12,768.21 | $12,771.44 |
$-469.16 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 2:10pm ET | $118.04 | 108 | $12,748.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.69 | 108 | $13,034.52 | $13,057.10 |
+$285.66 (+2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 11:45am ET | $126.68 | 103 | $13,048.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $129.17 | 103 | $13,304.51 | $13,313.57 |
+$256.47 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $124.78 | 106 | $13,226.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $123.43 | 106 | $13,083.58 | $13,170.47 |
$-143.10 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $134.55 | 97 | $13,051.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.75 | 97 | $13,458.75 | $13,577.87 |
+$407.40 (+3.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 11:45am ET | $141.97 | 95 | $13,487.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET | $140.34 | 95 | $13,332.30 | $13,423.02 |
$-154.85 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 12:10pm ET | $121.60 | 110 | $13,376.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $127.31 | 110 | $14,004.10 | $14,051.01 |
+$627.99 (+4.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $125.67 | 111 | $13,949.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 2:40pm ET | $124.34 | 111 | $13,801.74 | $13,903.52 |
$-147.49 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 2:45pm ET | $128.81 | 107 | $13,782.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:00pm ET | $127.28 | 107 | $13,618.43 | $13,739.28 |
$-164.24 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.15 | 111 | $13,669.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $124.11 | 111 | $13,776.21 | $13,846.24 |
+$106.96 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.85 | 120 | $13,782.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $113.56 | 120 | $13,627.20 | $13,690.98 |
$-155.26 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 2:20pm ET | $121.57 | 112 | $13,615.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $121.42 | 112 | $13,599.04 | $13,674.18 |
$-16.80 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:10pm ET | $129.46 | 105 | $13,592.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $131.24 | 105 | $13,779.68 | $13,860.91 |
+$186.73 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.92 | 104 | $13,823.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $130.22 | 104 | $13,542.88 | $13,580.11 |
$-280.80 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $134.40 | 101 | $13,574.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $139.33 | 101 | $14,072.32 | $14,077.52 |
+$497.41 (+3.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.5h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 1:55pm ET | $148.92 | 94 | $13,998.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $146.58 | 94 | $13,778.29 | $13,857.33 |
$-220.19 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.40 | 96 | $13,766.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $140.88 | 96 | $13,524.00 | $13,614.93 |
$-242.40 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:20am ET | $142.26 | 95 | $13,515.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.92 | 95 | $13,672.40 | $13,772.15 |
+$157.22 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.2h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.51 | 101 | $13,686.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $133.61 | 101 | $13,494.61 | $13,580.25 |
$-191.90 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,580.25
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,580.25
Total Return:
+35.80%