VTI Anchor's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 30 trades in period
-3.03%
Year to Date Return
$10,445.61
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$10,771.50
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
25
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.6/35
Total Return
5.6/25
Win Rate
10.2/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
25.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 24.9
30-Day Momentum
36
+1.3%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 40.8
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,905
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$10,771.50
Current Value
$10,445.61
Period P&L
$-325.89
Max Drawdown
-5.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
17 /
13
Best Trade
+1.15%
Worst Trade
-1.59%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
21.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$452,218.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-325.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$-325.89
Gross Return
-3.03%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.03%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $10,771.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:45pm ET | $335.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $336.59 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,798.54 |
+$27.04 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $335.57 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $338.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,896.78 |
+$98.24 (+0.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $339.92 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 12:00pm ET | $340.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,903.02 |
+$6.24 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:15pm ET | $338.88 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:55pm ET | $340.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,954.22 |
+$51.20 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET | $339.50 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:50pm ET | $339.74 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,961.90 |
+$7.68 (+0.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $333.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $334.89 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,995.18 |
+$33.28 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET | $340.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 11:10am ET | $341.75 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,027.18 |
+$32.00 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:50am ET | $340.19 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 12:55pm ET | $336.63 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,913.26 |
$-113.92 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $332.04 | 32 | $10,625.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $328.35 | 32 | $10,507.24 | $10,795.38 |
$-117.88 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $334.77 | 32 | $10,712.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $333.85 | 32 | $10,683.20 | $10,765.94 |
$-29.44 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $330.28 | 32 | $10,568.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $330.02 | 32 | $10,560.80 | $10,757.94 |
$-8.00 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:05pm ET | $329.20 | 32 | $10,534.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $331.04 | 32 | $10,593.28 | $10,816.84 |
+$58.90 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $329.59 | 32 | $10,546.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $326.21 | 32 | $10,438.72 | $10,708.68 |
$-108.16 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $323.82 | 33 | $10,686.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:35pm ET | $320.57 | 33 | $10,578.81 | $10,601.43 |
$-107.25 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:30pm ET | $325.22 | 32 | $10,407.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $321.85 | 32 | $10,299.21 | $10,493.60 |
$-107.83 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $325.31 | 32 | $10,409.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $322.51 | 32 | $10,320.32 | $10,404.00 |
$-89.60 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $317.08 | 32 | $10,146.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 2:05pm ET | $313.80 | 32 | $10,041.60 | $10,299.04 |
$-104.96 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:05pm ET | $312.35 | 32 | $9,995.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.57 | 32 | $10,098.24 | $10,402.08 |
+$103.04 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $324.18 | 32 | $10,373.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $319.04 | 32 | $10,209.28 | $10,237.60 |
$-164.48 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:25am ET | $324.19 | 31 | $10,049.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $324.25 | 31 | $10,051.75 | $10,239.46 |
+$1.86 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 11:10am ET | $332.16 | 30 | $9,964.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $333.04 | 30 | $9,991.05 | $10,265.71 |
+$26.25 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $335.52 | 30 | $10,065.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $334.27 | 30 | $10,028.10 | $10,228.21 |
$-37.50 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET | $341.99 | 29 | $9,917.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $343.14 | 29 | $9,951.20 | $10,261.70 |
+$33.49 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $344.61 | 29 | $9,993.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $348.59 | 29 | $10,109.04 | $10,377.05 |
+$115.35 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $350.07 | 29 | $10,151.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $351.14 | 29 | $10,182.92 | $10,408.08 |
+$31.03 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $350.35 | 29 | $10,160.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $350.43 | 29 | $10,162.61 | $10,410.54 |
+$2.46 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $351.67 | 29 | $10,198.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $351.85 | 29 | $10,203.65 | $10,415.90 |
+$5.36 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $350.78 | 29 | $10,172.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $350.05 | 29 | $10,151.31 | $10,394.59 |
$-21.31 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 11:05am ET | $355.86 | 29 | $10,319.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $355.02 | 29 | $10,295.44 | $10,370.09 |
$-24.50 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 1:10pm ET | $356.63 | 29 | $10,342.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $359.23 | 29 | $10,417.67 | $10,445.61 |
+$75.52 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,445.61
Net Profit/Loss:
+$445.61
Total Return:
+4.46%