WMT Anchor's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 37 trades in period
+12.98%
Year to Date Return
$11,011.78
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$9,747.01
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
28
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.1/35
Total Return
8.7/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality
27.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 27.5
30-Day Momentum
51
+7.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 55.4
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,174
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,747.01
Current Value
$11,011.78
Period P&L
$1,264.77
Max Drawdown
-11.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
22 /
15
Best Trade
+4.41%
Worst Trade
-2.01%
Avg Trade Return
+0.34%
Avg Hold Time
18.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$475,581.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,264.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,264.77
Gross Return
+12.98%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.98%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Anchor had $9,747.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $112.27 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:45am ET | $112.65 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,779.69 |
+$32.68 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $112.80 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:25am ET | $113.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,819.25 |
+$39.56 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $119.35 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 11:20am ET | $119.98 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,871.32 |
+$52.07 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 12:25pm ET | $119.68 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $118.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,774.56 |
$-96.76 (-1.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:05pm ET | $117.89 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:35pm ET | $118.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,807.77 |
+$33.21 (+0.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $120.20 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:10am ET | $118.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,691.74 |
$-116.03 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $118.29 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $118.74 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,728.19 |
+$36.45 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 12:55pm ET | $117.56 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $116.28 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,623.23 |
$-104.96 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $115.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 12:25pm ET | $116.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,643.15 |
+$19.92 (+0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 2:20pm ET | $116.06 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 3:50pm ET | $116.76 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,701.26 |
+$58.11 (+0.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:20am ET | $127.47 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:50am ET | $128.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,752.18 |
+$50.92 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $127.77 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.27 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,790.18 |
+$38.00 (+0.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $130.06 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $130.73 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,840.06 |
+$49.88 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $127.53 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $127.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,823.51 |
$-16.55 (-0.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.56 | 80 | $9,804.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.70 | 80 | $9,896.00 | $9,914.71 |
+$91.20 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $125.43 | 79 | $9,908.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $125.01 | 79 | $9,875.79 | $9,881.53 |
$-33.18 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.3h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.49 | 80 | $9,799.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $125.75 | 80 | $10,060.00 | $10,142.33 |
+$260.80 (+2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $126.10 | 80 | $10,088.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.58 | 80 | $10,126.40 | $10,180.73 |
+$38.40 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $124.39 | 81 | $10,075.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 10:10am ET | $123.04 | 81 | $9,966.64 | $10,071.78 |
$-108.95 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 10:15am ET | $120.97 | 83 | $10,040.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 11:00am ET | $119.76 | 83 | $9,940.08 | $9,971.34 |
$-100.44 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 11:00am ET | $118.88 | 83 | $9,867.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.51 | 83 | $10,002.74 | $10,107.05 |
+$135.71 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
2.9d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:40pm ET | $123.16 | 82 | $10,099.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.11 | 82 | $10,095.02 | $10,102.95 |
$-4.10 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $122.55 | 82 | $10,049.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.24 | 82 | $10,023.68 | $10,077.53 |
$-25.42 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 12:05pm ET | $123.80 | 81 | $10,027.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.83 | 81 | $10,030.63 | $10,080.36 |
+$2.83 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $123.14 | 81 | $9,974.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $125.60 | 81 | $10,173.60 | $10,279.22 |
+$198.86 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:40am ET | $126.40 | 81 | $10,238.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.23 | 81 | $10,224.63 | $10,265.45 |
$-13.77 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.05 | 84 | $10,252.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $127.43 | 84 | $10,704.12 | $10,717.37 |
+$451.92 (+4.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.69 | 83 | $10,681.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $127.40 | 83 | $10,574.20 | $10,610.30 |
$-107.07 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $125.26 | 84 | $10,521.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.74 | 84 | $10,310.16 | $10,398.62 |
$-211.68 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $124.40 | 83 | $10,325.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $124.20 | 83 | $10,308.60 | $10,382.02 |
$-16.60 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $123.84 | 83 | $10,278.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $127.96 | 83 | $10,620.68 | $10,724.25 |
+$342.23 (+3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $127.59 | 84 | $10,717.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $130.13 | 84 | $10,930.50 | $10,937.19 |
+$212.94 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
23.9h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $131.20 | 83 | $10,889.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $131.90 | 83 | $10,947.70 | $10,995.29 |
+$58.10 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $129.14 | 85 | $10,976.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 2:25pm ET | $127.76 | 85 | $10,859.60 | $10,877.99 |
$-117.30 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 2:25pm ET | $126.97 | 85 | $10,792.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $126.74 | 85 | $10,772.48 | $10,858.01 |
$-19.98 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
19.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $130.48 | 83 | $10,829.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.11 | 83 | $10,965.13 | $10,993.30 |
+$135.29 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.2h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $130.45 | 84 | $10,957.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $130.67 | 84 | $10,976.28 | $11,011.78 |
+$18.48 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,011.78
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,011.78
Total Return:
+10.12%