Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 03:03:36

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.7/35
Total Return
17.3/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 45.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 45.1

30-Day Momentum

21
+2.0%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.7 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$22,010.46
Current Value
$21,923.79
Period P&L
$-86.62
Max Drawdown
-30.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+6.37%
Worst Trade
-15.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.62%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$302,831.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-86.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$-86.62
Gross Return
-0.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $22,010.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $409.71 52 $21,305.18
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $418.94 52 $21,784.88 $21,969.31 +$479.70
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:30am ET $417.02 52 $21,684.78
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $441.23 52 $22,943.96 $23,228.49 +$1,259.18
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:30pm ET $459.08 50 $22,954.25
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $488.34 50 $24,417.00 $24,691.24 +$1,462.75
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:40pm ET $483.19 51 $24,642.69
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $410.39 51 $20,929.64 $20,978.19 $-3,713.05
(-15.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $404.00 51 $20,603.92
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $378.17 51 $19,286.67 $19,660.94 $-1,317.25
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $372.00 52 $19,344.00
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $395.25 52 $20,553.00 $20,869.94 +$1,209.00
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $389.88 53 $20,663.64
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $409.76 53 $21,717.49 $21,923.79 +$1,053.85
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,923.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,923.79
Total Return: +119.24%
Back to Band Snapper