Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-21 03:04:36

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.1/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 33.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 32.8

30-Day Momentum

3
-8.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,012.45
Current Value
$14,032.31
Period P&L
$-980.12
Max Drawdown
-17.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.68

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+1.14%
Worst Trade
-5.52%
Avg Trade Return
-2.06%
Avg Hold Time
5.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$116,950.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-980.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$-980.12
Gross Return
-6.53%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $15,012.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $124.86 122 $15,233.53
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $119.07 122 $14,527.15 $14,570.18 $-706.38
(-4.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $114.95 126 $14,483.70
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $115.83 126 $14,594.58 $14,681.06 +$110.88
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $117.03 125 $14,628.75
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $118.36 125 $14,795.00 $14,847.31 +$166.25
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $118.01 125 $14,751.25
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $111.49 125 $13,936.25 $14,032.31 $-815.00
(-5.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,032.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,032.31
Total Return: +40.32%
Back to Band Snapper