Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 03:03:06

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.3/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
4.5/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 33.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 33.4

30-Day Momentum

4
-13.6%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$17,096.65
Current Value
$14,032.19
Period P&L
$-3,064.47
Max Drawdown
-17.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.39

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+5.47%
Worst Trade
-7.25%
Avg Trade Return
-1.94%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$228,089.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,064.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,064.47
Gross Return
-17.92%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $17,096.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 12:00pm ET $222.72 72 $16,035.84
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $234.90 72 $16,912.44 $17,118.62 +$876.60
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 11:55am ET $255.81 66 $16,883.46
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:55am ET $254.64 66 $16,806.24 $17,041.40 $-77.22
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $263.71 64 $16,877.44
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $277.26 64 $17,744.64 $17,908.60 +$867.20
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 1:55pm ET $323.32 55 $17,782.33
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:45am ET $302.71 55 $16,649.05 $16,775.32 $-1,133.28
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $303.21 55 $16,676.55
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $284.98 55 $15,673.90 $15,772.67 $-1,002.65
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:00pm ET $281.65 56 $15,772.40
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $270.14 56 $15,127.84 $15,128.11 $-644.56
(-4.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $270.03 56 $15,121.68
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $250.46 56 $14,025.76 $14,032.19 $-1,095.92
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,032.19
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,032.19
Total Return: +40.32%
Back to Band Snapper