Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 03:04:51

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.1/35
Total Return
16.1/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 40.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 40.5

30-Day Momentum

45
+8.9%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 63.7 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$17,298.50
Current Value
$18,559.96
Period P&L
$1,261.49
Max Drawdown
-29.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.55

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
4 / 1
Best Trade
+5.56%
Worst Trade
-3.70%
Avg Trade Return
+1.85%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$176,012.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,261.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,261.49
Gross Return
+7.29%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $17,298.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 11:35am ET $1,010.67 16 $16,170.72
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:40am ET $1,066.84 16 $17,069.44 $17,938.47 +$898.72
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:50am ET $1,061.11 16 $16,977.76
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:45am ET $1,114.23 16 $17,827.68 $18,788.39 +$849.92
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:45am ET $1,113.19 16 $17,811.04
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $1,071.96 16 $17,151.36 $18,128.71 $-659.68
(-3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:50pm ET $1,132.93 16 $18,126.80
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 1:50pm ET $1,151.22 16 $18,419.60 $18,421.51 +$292.80
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET $1,134.98 16 $18,159.71
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:35am ET $1,143.64 16 $18,298.16 $18,559.96 +$138.45
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,559.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,559.96
Total Return: +85.60%
Back to Band Snapper