Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 03:03:38

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

62
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
26.1/35
Total Return
17.7/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
5.8/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 62.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 62.0

30-Day Momentum

48
+9.3%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 68.4 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$22,342.54
Current Value
$23,470.46
Period P&L
$1,127.92
Max Drawdown
-18.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.56

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
4 / 1
Best Trade
+5.44%
Worst Trade
-3.23%
Avg Trade Return
+1.84%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$225,135.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,127.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,127.92
Gross Return
+5.05%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $22,342.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $189.99 113 $21,469.43
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:55am ET $200.04 113 $22,604.52 $22,612.61 +$1,135.08
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $201.94 111 $22,415.34
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $201.98 111 $22,419.78 $22,617.05 +$4.44
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:25pm ET $207.09 109 $22,572.81
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $210.60 109 $22,955.40 $22,999.64 +$382.59
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $215.72 106 $22,866.32
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $208.75 106 $22,127.50 $22,260.82 $-738.82
(-3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $207.92 107 $22,247.44
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $219.23 107 $23,457.08 $23,470.46 +$1,209.64
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $23,470.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$13,470.46
Total Return: +134.70%
Back to Band Snapper