Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 03:08:25

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.8/35
Total Return
17.2/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 42.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 41.7

30-Day Momentum

20
+3.6%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.3 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$21,047.70
Current Value
$21,812.47
Period P&L
$764.80
Max Drawdown
-42.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+7.59%
Worst Trade
-6.56%
Avg Trade Return
+0.71%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$308,664.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$764.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$764.80
Gross Return
+3.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $21,047.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 10:20am ET $74.83 281 $21,027.23
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:40am ET $79.01 281 $22,203.21 $22,223.65 +$1,175.98
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 11:55am ET $80.61 275 $22,167.75
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $84.94 275 $23,358.28 $23,414.18 +$1,190.53
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $85.98 272 $23,386.83
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $80.67 272 $21,940.88 $21,968.23 $-1,445.95
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $76.84 285 $21,899.40
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $71.82 285 $20,468.70 $20,537.53 $-1,430.70
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:50am ET $70.65 290 $20,488.50
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $74.66 290 $21,651.40 $21,700.43 +$1,162.90
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $77.03 281 $21,645.43
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $82.88 281 $23,289.28 $23,344.28 +$1,643.85
(+7.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $84.24 277 $23,334.48
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $78.71 277 $21,802.67 $21,812.47 $-1,531.81
(-6.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,812.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,812.47
Total Return: +118.12%
Back to Band Snapper