IBM Band Snapper's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 45 trades in period
+6.61%
Last Year Return
$16,377.38
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$15,361.43
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
41
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
13.1/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
5.1/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
42.0/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 40.9
30-Day Momentum
11
-4.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.3
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,639
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$15,361.43
Current Value
$16,377.38
Period P&L
$1,015.95
Max Drawdown
-17.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
45
Winners / Losers
24 /
21
Best Trade
+7.38%
Worst Trade
-8.69%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
6.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,539,795.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,015.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,015.95
Gross Return
+6.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.61%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 45 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $15,361.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $238.94 | 62 | $14,814.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2025 12:00pm ET | $250.91 | 62 | $15,556.25 | $15,583.84 |
+$741.84 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 3:05pm ET | $255.57 | 60 | $15,333.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $266.70 | 60 | $16,002.00 | $16,251.94 |
+$668.10 (+4.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 3:15pm ET | $268.23 | 60 | $16,093.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $263.25 | 60 | $15,795.00 | $15,953.14 |
$-298.80 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $260.32 | 61 | $15,879.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $265.46 | 61 | $16,193.06 | $16,266.68 |
+$313.54 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 6, 2025 12:40pm ET | $268.18 | 60 | $16,090.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $281.59 | 60 | $16,895.40 | $17,071.28 |
+$804.60 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $277.29 | 61 | $16,914.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $289.18 | 61 | $17,639.68 | $17,796.26 |
+$724.99 (+4.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.3d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2025 10:50am ET | $292.55 | 60 | $17,553.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $287.54 | 60 | $17,252.40 | $17,495.66 |
$-300.60 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2025 12:20pm ET | $293.40 | 59 | $17,310.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $283.86 | 59 | $16,747.74 | $16,932.80 |
$-562.86 (-3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2025 9:45am ET | $282.01 | 60 | $16,920.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $282.22 | 60 | $16,933.20 | $16,945.40 |
+$12.60 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $258.09 | 65 | $16,775.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 3:55pm ET | $249.91 | 65 | $16,244.15 | $16,413.70 |
$-531.70 (-3.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2025 10:05am ET | $250.14 | 65 | $16,259.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2025 2:20pm ET | $235.01 | 65 | $15,275.65 | $15,430.25 |
$-983.45 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2025 3:40pm ET | $233.78 | 66 | $15,429.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $241.27 | 66 | $15,923.82 | $15,924.59 |
+$494.34 (+3.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $241.09 | 66 | $15,911.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $245.80 | 66 | $16,222.80 | $16,235.78 |
+$311.19 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $240.07 | 67 | $16,084.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 11:15am ET | $252.37 | 67 | $16,908.79 | $17,059.88 |
+$824.10 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 3:30pm ET | $258.68 | 65 | $16,813.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $257.55 | 65 | $16,740.75 | $16,986.76 |
$-73.13 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 2:15pm ET | $264.91 | 64 | $16,953.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 10:25am ET | $279.00 | 64 | $17,856.00 | $17,888.84 |
+$902.08 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 3:25pm ET | $286.63 | 62 | $17,771.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $288.40 | 62 | $17,880.80 | $17,998.58 |
+$109.74 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $289.46 | 62 | $17,946.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $277.16 | 62 | $17,183.92 | $17,235.98 |
$-762.60 (-4.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 12:10pm ET | $280.55 | 61 | $17,113.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $288.15 | 61 | $17,577.15 | $17,699.58 |
+$463.60 (+2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 9:40am ET | $305.03 | 58 | $17,691.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $304.80 | 58 | $17,678.40 | $17,686.24 |
$-13.34 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:35am ET | $304.63 | 58 | $17,668.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $323.17 | 58 | $18,743.86 | $18,761.56 |
+$1,075.32 (+6.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $310.44 | 60 | $18,626.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $291.56 | 60 | $17,493.60 | $17,628.76 |
$-1,132.80 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET | $288.85 | 61 | $17,619.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 10:40am ET | $303.40 | 61 | $18,507.40 | $18,516.31 |
+$887.55 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 2:15pm ET | $303.07 | 61 | $18,487.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $302.83 | 61 | $18,472.63 | $18,501.67 |
$-14.64 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 3:25pm ET | $308.42 | 59 | $18,196.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $309.24 | 59 | $18,245.16 | $18,550.05 |
+$48.38 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $305.60 | 60 | $18,336.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $303.76 | 60 | $18,225.60 | $18,439.65 |
$-110.40 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 12:35pm ET | $303.88 | 60 | $18,232.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $295.07 | 60 | $17,704.20 | $17,911.05 |
$-528.60 (-2.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:15am ET | $300.49 | 59 | $17,729.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $309.14 | 59 | $18,239.26 | $18,421.17 |
+$510.13 (+2.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $297.97 | 61 | $18,176.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $292.41 | 61 | $17,837.01 | $18,082.01 |
$-339.16 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $295.54 | 61 | $18,027.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $317.36 | 61 | $19,358.96 | $19,413.03 |
+$1,331.02 (+7.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.27 | 64 | $19,345.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $283.43 | 64 | $18,139.52 | $18,207.27 |
$-1,205.76 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $287.01 | 63 | $18,081.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $269.74 | 63 | $16,993.62 | $17,119.26 |
$-1,088.01 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $258.21 | 66 | $17,041.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 1:50pm ET | $242.64 | 66 | $16,014.24 | $16,091.64 |
$-1,027.62 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.2d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 3:25pm ET | $228.87 | 70 | $16,020.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.85 | 70 | $16,929.50 | $17,000.24 |
+$908.60 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $236.45 | 71 | $16,787.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $248.63 | 71 | $17,652.73 | $17,865.38 |
+$865.13 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $255.84 | 69 | $17,652.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $247.69 | 69 | $17,090.61 | $17,303.03 |
$-562.35 (-3.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 11:15am ET | $247.45 | 69 | $17,074.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $253.29 | 69 | $17,477.35 | $17,706.34 |
+$403.31 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 12:30pm ET | $253.05 | 69 | $17,460.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $246.49 | 69 | $17,007.81 | $17,253.36 |
$-452.98 (-2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $239.78 | 71 | $17,024.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $237.54 | 71 | $16,865.69 | $17,094.85 |
$-158.51 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $244.47 | 69 | $16,868.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:00pm ET | $246.45 | 69 | $17,004.71 | $17,231.13 |
+$136.28 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $243.57 | 70 | $17,049.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.43 | 70 | $16,339.75 | $16,520.98 |
$-710.15 (-4.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:05pm ET | $239.31 | 69 | $16,512.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $255.46 | 69 | $17,626.74 | $17,635.33 |
+$1,114.35 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 1:45pm ET | $252.80 | 69 | $17,443.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.82 | 69 | $15,926.58 | $16,118.81 |
$-1,516.52 (-8.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $227.53 | 70 | $15,927.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $229.28 | 70 | $16,049.60 | $16,241.31 |
+$122.50 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $226.42 | 71 | $16,076.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $228.34 | 71 | $16,212.14 | $16,377.38 |
+$136.07 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,377.38
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,377.38
Total Return:
+63.77%