LLY Band Snapper's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 46 trades in period
+25.40%
Last Year Return
$16,610.83
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$13,246.28
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.8/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
36.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 36.1
30-Day Momentum
2
-3.8%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9
Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,627
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$13,246.28
Current Value
$16,610.83
Period P&L
$3,364.58
Max Drawdown
-29.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
46
Winners / Losers
24 /
22
Best Trade
+6.97%
Worst Trade
-7.06%
Avg Trade Return
+0.60%
Avg Hold Time
6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,397,896.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,364.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,364.58
Gross Return
+25.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+25.40%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 46 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $13,246.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $816.83 | 16 | $13,069.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $759.13 | 16 | $12,146.15 | $12,230.17 |
$-923.09 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 9, 2025 10:25am ET | $753.12 | 16 | $12,049.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $757.80 | 16 | $12,124.80 | $12,305.05 |
+$74.88 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2025 11:00am ET | $747.74 | 16 | $11,963.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $719.24 | 16 | $11,507.84 | $11,849.05 |
$-456.00 (-3.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8.2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 12:25pm ET | $730.97 | 16 | $11,695.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2025 9:50am ET | $769.99 | 16 | $12,319.84 | $12,473.37 |
+$624.32 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2025 9:50am ET | $756.18 | 16 | $12,098.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2025 10:05am ET | $794.17 | 16 | $12,706.64 | $13,081.13 |
+$607.76 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2025 12:00pm ET | $812.67 | 16 | $13,002.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $784.34 | 16 | $12,549.44 | $12,627.93 |
$-453.20 (-3.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $763.11 | 16 | $12,209.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 27, 2025 10:10am ET | $801.36 | 16 | $12,821.76 | $13,239.93 |
+$612.00 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2025 1:00pm ET | $775.30 | 17 | $13,180.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $778.44 | 17 | $13,233.48 | $13,293.31 |
+$53.38 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2025 12:55pm ET | $791.00 | 16 | $12,656.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $762.13 | 16 | $12,194.08 | $12,831.39 |
$-461.92 (-3.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $771.67 | 16 | $12,346.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $814.44 | 16 | $13,030.96 | $13,515.63 |
+$684.24 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.7d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2025 2:00pm ET | $813.30 | 16 | $13,012.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $760.63 | 16 | $12,170.08 | $12,672.91 |
$-842.72 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2025 11:50am ET | $765.68 | 16 | $12,250.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $747.24 | 16 | $11,955.84 | $12,377.95 |
$-294.96 (-2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2025 10:15am ET | $636.15 | 19 | $12,086.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 10:30am ET | $668.26 | 19 | $12,696.85 | $12,988.01 |
+$610.05 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 15, 2025 3:30pm ET | $699.64 | 18 | $12,593.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $711.48 | 18 | $12,806.64 | $13,201.13 |
+$213.12 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2025 2:00pm ET | $736.29 | 17 | $12,516.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $742.67 | 17 | $12,625.39 | $13,309.59 |
+$108.46 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $726.98 | 18 | $13,085.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $754.92 | 18 | $13,588.56 | $13,812.51 |
+$502.92 (+3.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 3:10pm ET | $764.49 | 18 | $13,760.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $747.21 | 18 | $13,449.78 | $13,501.47 |
$-311.04 (-2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:50am ET | $736.78 | 18 | $13,262.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $779.65 | 18 | $14,033.75 | $14,273.17 |
+$771.71 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 9:40am ET | $822.12 | 17 | $13,976.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $855.11 | 17 | $14,536.87 | $14,834.00 |
+$560.83 (+4.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $827.55 | 17 | $14,068.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $809.08 | 17 | $13,754.36 | $14,520.01 |
$-313.99 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $799.58 | 18 | $14,392.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $820.29 | 18 | $14,765.22 | $14,892.79 |
+$372.78 (+2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2025 3:50pm ET | $841.88 | 17 | $14,311.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 11:05am ET | $884.03 | 17 | $15,028.43 | $15,609.26 |
+$716.47 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 12:55pm ET | $897.73 | 17 | $15,261.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 10:40am ET | $944.20 | 17 | $16,051.40 | $16,399.33 |
+$790.08 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 12:15pm ET | $925.10 | 17 | $15,726.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:50am ET | $976.57 | 17 | $16,601.69 | $17,274.32 |
+$874.99 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 2:40pm ET | $988.69 | 17 | $16,807.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 12:10pm ET | $1,038.38 | 17 | $17,652.46 | $18,119.14 |
+$844.82 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 2:20pm ET | $1,048.56 | 17 | $17,825.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 12:10pm ET | $1,103.10 | 17 | $18,752.70 | $19,046.40 |
+$927.26 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 1:40pm ET | $1,102.81 | 17 | $18,747.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:45am ET | $1,033.46 | 17 | $17,568.82 | $17,867.54 |
$-1,178.87 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:45am ET | $1,020.80 | 17 | $17,353.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $1,009.17 | 17 | $17,155.89 | $17,669.83 |
$-197.71 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:35am ET | $1,049.04 | 16 | $16,784.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $1,071.03 | 16 | $17,136.48 | $18,021.67 |
+$351.84 (+2.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 2:50pm ET | $1,072.78 | 16 | $17,164.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,041.44 | 16 | $16,663.04 | $17,520.23 |
$-501.44 (-2.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $1,097.61 | 15 | $16,464.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,073.81 | 15 | $16,107.15 | $17,163.23 |
$-357.00 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 2:40pm ET | $1,046.18 | 16 | $16,738.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,063.07 | 16 | $17,009.12 | $17,433.47 |
+$270.24 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,019.00 | 17 | $17,323.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,090.07 | 17 | $18,531.19 | $18,641.65 |
+$1,208.19 (+7.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,048.31 | 17 | $17,821.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,105.51 | 17 | $18,793.67 | $19,614.05 |
+$972.40 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,044.18 | 18 | $18,795.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,020.16 | 18 | $18,362.88 | $19,181.69 |
$-432.36 (-2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8.3d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $1,015.99 | 18 | $18,287.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,051.71 | 18 | $18,930.78 | $19,824.65 |
+$642.96 (+3.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,009.57 | 19 | $19,181.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $987.00 | 19 | $18,753.00 | $19,395.82 |
$-428.83 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:10pm ET | $1,002.04 | 19 | $19,038.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $992.85 | 19 | $18,864.24 | $19,221.31 |
$-174.51 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $974.24 | 19 | $18,510.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $913.33 | 19 | $17,353.27 | $18,064.02 |
$-1,157.29 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 2:20pm ET | $917.90 | 19 | $17,440.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $901.10 | 19 | $17,120.91 | $17,744.92 |
$-319.10 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:05pm ET | $913.68 | 19 | $17,359.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET | $888.03 | 19 | $16,872.48 | $17,257.48 |
$-487.44 (-2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $940.00 | 18 | $16,920.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $922.00 | 18 | $16,596.00 | $16,933.48 |
$-324.00 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 2:30pm ET | $954.71 | 17 | $16,230.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:30pm ET | $928.71 | 17 | $15,788.07 | $16,491.48 |
$-442.00 (-2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:30pm ET | $926.08 | 17 | $15,743.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $925.46 | 17 | $15,732.85 | $16,481.05 |
$-10.43 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $912.08 | 18 | $16,417.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $873.68 | 18 | $15,726.24 | $15,789.85 |
$-691.20 (-4.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $871.39 | 18 | $15,685.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $917.00 | 18 | $16,506.00 | $16,610.83 |
+$820.98 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,610.83
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,610.83
Total Return:
+66.11%