MS Band Snapper's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 42 trades in period
+23.76%
Last Year Return
$20,573.34
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$16,623.91
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
54
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
20.5/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality
54.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 54.0
30-Day Momentum
45
+9.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
4.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 61.0
Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,385
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$16,623.91
Current Value
$20,573.34
Period P&L
$3,949.43
Max Drawdown
-18.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
21 /
21
Best Trade
+6.36%
Worst Trade
-7.24%
Avg Trade Return
+0.55%
Avg Hold Time
6.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,724,518.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,949.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,949.43
Gross Return
+23.76%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.76%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $16,623.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $119.58 | 139 | $16,621.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $127.19 | 139 | $17,678.72 | $17,761.63 |
+$1,057.10 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $129.34 | 137 | $17,719.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $129.13 | 137 | $17,690.81 | $17,732.86 |
$-28.77 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $125.08 | 141 | $17,636.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $127.96 | 141 | $18,042.36 | $18,138.97 |
+$406.11 (+2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8.3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2025 9:45am ET | $127.54 | 142 | $18,110.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $131.90 | 142 | $18,729.80 | $18,758.09 |
+$619.12 (+3.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $130.38 | 143 | $18,643.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $132.64 | 143 | $18,967.52 | $19,081.98 |
+$323.89 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8.3d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 12:05pm ET | $135.13 | 141 | $19,053.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2025 3:55pm ET | $141.09 | 141 | $19,893.69 | $19,921.95 |
+$839.97 (+4.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2025 11:35am ET | $143.66 | 138 | $19,825.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $143.94 | 138 | $19,863.72 | $19,960.59 |
+$38.64 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $141.66 | 140 | $19,831.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $140.06 | 140 | $19,608.54 | $19,737.43 |
$-223.16 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2025 2:40pm ET | $143.07 | 137 | $19,600.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2025 3:55pm ET | $142.43 | 137 | $19,512.91 | $19,649.75 |
$-87.68 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 1:40pm ET | $141.11 | 139 | $19,614.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $143.93 | 139 | $20,006.27 | $20,041.73 |
+$391.98 (+2.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 12:35pm ET | $146.58 | 136 | $19,934.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $144.10 | 136 | $19,597.60 | $19,704.45 |
$-337.28 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 1:30pm ET | $148.03 | 133 | $19,687.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $150.54 | 133 | $20,021.82 | $20,038.28 |
+$333.83 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 11:25am ET | $148.59 | 134 | $19,911.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $154.14 | 134 | $20,654.76 | $20,781.98 |
+$743.70 (+3.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 10:30am ET | $156.13 | 133 | $20,765.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $159.93 | 133 | $21,270.69 | $21,287.38 |
+$505.40 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 11:55am ET | $162.09 | 131 | $21,233.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $158.94 | 131 | $20,820.49 | $20,874.07 |
$-413.31 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 3:55pm ET | $156.92 | 133 | $20,870.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $155.67 | 133 | $20,703.45 | $20,707.16 |
$-166.91 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $155.17 | 133 | $20,637.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $164.76 | 133 | $21,913.08 | $21,982.63 |
+$1,275.47 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 10:10am ET | $162.09 | 135 | $21,882.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $159.31 | 135 | $21,506.85 | $21,607.33 |
$-375.30 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 1:50pm ET | $165.83 | 130 | $21,557.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $163.67 | 130 | $21,277.10 | $21,326.53 |
$-280.80 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $163.68 | 130 | $21,278.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $169.93 | 130 | $22,090.90 | $22,139.03 |
+$812.50 (+3.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $160.46 | 137 | $21,983.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $158.24 | 137 | $21,678.88 | $21,834.89 |
$-304.14 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $162.83 | 134 | $21,819.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $169.05 | 134 | $22,652.70 | $22,668.37 |
+$833.48 (+3.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 2:10pm ET | $174.72 | 129 | $22,538.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $180.29 | 129 | $23,257.41 | $23,386.90 |
+$718.53 (+3.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 11:55am ET | $179.39 | 130 | $23,320.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $179.70 | 130 | $23,361.00 | $23,427.20 |
+$40.30 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $179.48 | 130 | $23,332.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 3:55pm ET | $177.54 | 130 | $23,080.20 | $23,175.00 |
$-252.20 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 2:40pm ET | $187.44 | 123 | $23,055.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $186.59 | 123 | $22,950.57 | $23,070.45 |
$-104.55 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.03 | 127 | $22,990.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:45am ET | $190.14 | 127 | $24,147.78 | $24,227.42 |
+$1,156.97 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $191.60 | 126 | $24,141.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.71 | 126 | $22,643.46 | $22,729.28 |
$-1,498.14 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $181.85 | 124 | $22,548.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $182.90 | 124 | $22,679.60 | $22,860.10 |
+$130.82 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.10 | 129 | $22,845.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $168.04 | 129 | $21,677.16 | $21,691.36 |
$-1,168.74 (-5.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 12:40pm ET | $171.10 | 126 | $21,558.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $168.77 | 126 | $21,265.02 | $21,397.78 |
$-293.58 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm ET | $174.57 | 122 | $21,296.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $161.92 | 122 | $19,754.24 | $19,855.09 |
$-1,542.69 (-7.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 12:40pm ET | $167.82 | 118 | $19,802.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $155.88 | 118 | $18,393.25 | $18,446.17 |
$-1,408.92 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $157.20 | 117 | $18,392.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.67 | 117 | $18,330.39 | $18,384.16 |
$-62.01 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 2:25pm ET | $158.40 | 116 | $18,374.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $165.34 | 116 | $19,179.44 | $19,188.62 |
+$804.46 (+4.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.63 | 117 | $19,027.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.76 | 117 | $18,691.92 | $18,852.83 |
$-335.79 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $166.74 | 113 | $18,841.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:00pm ET | $166.27 | 113 | $18,788.51 | $18,799.72 |
$-53.11 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:50pm ET | $167.61 | 112 | $18,772.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.96 | 112 | $19,819.52 | $19,846.92 |
+$1,047.20 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.7h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $175.31 | 113 | $19,810.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.41 | 113 | $20,612.89 | $20,649.78 |
+$802.86 (+4.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 3:45pm ET | $191.16 | 108 | $20,645.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:45pm ET | $190.74 | 108 | $20,599.92 | $20,603.88 |
$-45.90 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:55pm ET | $191.13 | 107 | $20,451.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 1:55pm ET | $189.28 | 107 | $20,252.96 | $20,405.40 |
$-198.48 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $188.50 | 108 | $20,358.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $190.05 | 108 | $20,525.94 | $20,573.34 |
+$167.94 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$20,573.34
Net Profit/Loss:
+$10,573.34
Total Return:
+105.73%