VTI Band Snapper's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 39 trades in period
+23.52%
Last Year Return
$15,820.75
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$12,808.55
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
50
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
13.7/35
Total Return
14.7/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
7.0/15
Consistency
7.2/10
Raw Quality
51.7/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 50.2
30-Day Momentum
46
+7.6%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 66.0
Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,168
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$12,808.55
Current Value
$15,820.75
Period P&L
$3,012.19
Max Drawdown
-14.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.41
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
26 /
13
Best Trade
+3.38%
Worst Trade
-1.93%
Avg Trade Return
+0.57%
Avg Hold Time
7.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,134,173.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,012.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,012.19
Gross Return
+23.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.52%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $12,808.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2025 3:55pm ET | $274.48 | 46 | $12,626.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $278.25 | 46 | $12,799.50 | $12,933.66 |
+$173.42 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2025 11:55am ET | $284.95 | 45 | $12,822.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $292.81 | 45 | $13,176.45 | $13,287.36 |
+$353.70 (+2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $290.01 | 45 | $13,050.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $290.22 | 45 | $13,059.68 | $13,296.58 |
+$9.22 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8.3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 9:50am ET | $288.57 | 46 | $13,274.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $295.36 | 46 | $13,586.56 | $13,609.06 |
+$312.48 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2025 12:05pm ET | $297.07 | 45 | $13,367.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $294.12 | 45 | $13,235.40 | $13,476.53 |
$-132.53 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 12:05pm ET | $293.97 | 45 | $13,228.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $303.90 | 45 | $13,675.50 | $13,923.38 |
+$446.85 (+3.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 3:55pm ET | $303.90 | 45 | $13,675.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $307.46 | 45 | $13,835.70 | $14,083.58 |
+$160.20 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $308.36 | 45 | $13,876.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $309.30 | 45 | $13,918.50 | $14,125.88 |
+$42.30 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 12:20pm ET | $310.47 | 45 | $13,971.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $313.57 | 45 | $14,110.65 | $14,265.38 |
+$139.50 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2025 2:45pm ET | $312.83 | 45 | $14,077.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $311.21 | 45 | $14,004.45 | $14,192.48 |
$-72.90 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2025 3:40pm ET | $312.70 | 45 | $14,071.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $316.48 | 45 | $14,241.60 | $14,362.58 |
+$170.10 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $316.06 | 45 | $14,222.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $318.02 | 45 | $14,310.90 | $14,450.78 |
+$88.20 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2025 9:50am ET | $318.79 | 45 | $14,345.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $319.58 | 45 | $14,381.10 | $14,486.33 |
+$35.55 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8.3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 10:30am ET | $319.69 | 45 | $14,386.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $325.43 | 45 | $14,644.35 | $14,744.63 |
+$258.30 (+1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 2:40pm ET | $327.16 | 45 | $14,722.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 3:55pm ET | $325.08 | 45 | $14,628.38 | $14,650.81 |
$-93.83 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 29, 2025 11:30am ET | $326.91 | 44 | $14,384.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $331.21 | 44 | $14,573.24 | $14,840.01 |
+$189.20 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 2:40pm ET | $331.44 | 44 | $14,583.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $328.36 | 44 | $14,447.62 | $14,704.27 |
$-135.74 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 11:20am ET | $324.57 | 45 | $14,605.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $333.79 | 45 | $15,020.55 | $15,119.17 |
+$414.90 (+2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 11:30am ET | $337.27 | 44 | $14,839.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $331.73 | 44 | $14,596.12 | $14,875.41 |
$-243.76 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $333.11 | 44 | $14,656.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $335.88 | 44 | $14,778.72 | $14,997.29 |
+$121.88 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $325.88 | 46 | $14,990.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $323.72 | 46 | $14,891.12 | $14,897.93 |
$-99.36 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET | $328.19 | 45 | $14,768.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $336.57 | 45 | $15,145.65 | $15,275.25 |
+$377.32 (+2.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8.3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 12:10pm ET | $337.40 | 45 | $15,183.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $336.04 | 45 | $15,121.80 | $15,214.05 |
$-61.20 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $334.77 | 45 | $15,064.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $338.71 | 45 | $15,242.06 | $15,391.45 |
+$177.40 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 12:20pm ET | $339.32 | 45 | $15,269.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $338.91 | 45 | $15,250.95 | $15,373.00 |
$-18.45 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $340.99 | 45 | $15,344.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $341.02 | 45 | $15,345.90 | $15,374.35 |
+$1.35 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $341.56 | 45 | $15,369.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $341.98 | 45 | $15,388.88 | $15,393.25 |
+$18.90 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $343.30 | 44 | $15,105.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $339.86 | 44 | $14,953.84 | $15,241.89 |
$-151.36 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.77 | 45 | $15,109.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $336.12 | 45 | $15,125.40 | $15,257.86 |
+$15.97 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $334.71 | 45 | $15,061.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $339.16 | 45 | $15,262.20 | $15,458.11 |
+$200.25 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $341.61 | 45 | $15,372.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $335.99 | 45 | $15,119.55 | $15,204.99 |
$-253.13 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $328.35 | 46 | $15,104.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $329.15 | 46 | $15,140.90 | $15,241.73 |
+$36.74 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 12:05pm ET | $330.49 | 46 | $15,202.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $325.08 | 46 | $14,953.68 | $14,992.64 |
$-249.09 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $321.85 | 46 | $14,805.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.65 | 46 | $14,519.90 | $14,707.43 |
$-285.21 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $324.18 | 45 | $14,588.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 2:00pm ET | $324.07 | 45 | $14,582.93 | $14,702.26 |
$-5.17 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:40pm ET | $323.71 | 45 | $14,566.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $334.27 | 45 | $15,042.15 | $15,177.46 |
+$475.20 (+3.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET | $341.99 | 44 | $15,047.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $350.07 | 44 | $15,402.86 | $15,532.76 |
+$355.30 (+2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $349.54 | 44 | $15,379.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $351.85 | 44 | $15,481.40 | $15,634.41 |
+$101.65 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $350.78 | 44 | $15,434.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $355.02 | 44 | $15,620.66 | $15,820.75 |
+$186.34 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,820.75
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,820.75
Total Return:
+58.21%