XLK Band Snapper's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 40 trades in period
+23.93%
Last Year Return
$19,099.12
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$15,411.83
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
58
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
22.6/35
Total Return
16.3/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
5.4/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
59.4/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 58.4
30-Day Momentum
68
+21.8%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
6
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 91.8
Conf: 0.74×
Steady (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
28,376
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$15,411.83
Current Value
$19,099.12
Period P&L
$3,687.33
Max Drawdown
-14.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
23 /
17
Best Trade
+5.75%
Worst Trade
-6.05%
Avg Trade Return
+0.57%
Avg Hold Time
6.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,341,132.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,687.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,687.33
Gross Return
+23.93%
Net Return (after fees)
+23.93%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $15,411.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2025 9:45am ET | $106.70 | 144 | $15,364.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $112.83 | 144 | $16,247.52 | $16,294.51 |
+$882.72 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2025 1:00pm ET | $116.85 | 139 | $16,242.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $114.65 | 139 | $15,935.66 | $15,988.02 |
$-306.50 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $114.68 | 139 | $15,940.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $115.41 | 139 | $16,041.30 | $16,088.79 |
+$100.77 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2025 2:00pm ET | $117.79 | 136 | $16,018.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $120.44 | 136 | $16,379.16 | $16,449.19 |
+$360.40 (+2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2025 2:20pm ET | $121.20 | 135 | $16,362.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $120.29 | 135 | $16,239.15 | $16,326.34 |
$-122.85 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2025 1:40pm ET | $125.92 | 129 | $16,243.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $127.49 | 129 | $16,445.57 | $16,528.04 |
+$201.69 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2025 9:50am ET | $128.50 | 128 | $16,447.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $130.55 | 128 | $16,710.40 | $16,790.76 |
+$262.72 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 12:10pm ET | $131.08 | 128 | $16,777.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $132.04 | 128 | $16,901.12 | $16,914.28 |
+$123.52 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2025 2:45pm ET | $132.38 | 127 | $16,811.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $131.55 | 127 | $16,706.85 | $16,809.50 |
$-104.77 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2025 3:40pm ET | $132.69 | 126 | $16,718.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $132.85 | 126 | $16,739.10 | $16,829.66 |
+$20.16 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $132.52 | 127 | $16,829.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $131.51 | 127 | $16,701.77 | $16,702.03 |
$-127.63 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $132.39 | 126 | $16,680.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $132.42 | 126 | $16,684.29 | $16,705.81 |
+$3.78 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.3d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 12:05pm ET | $135.50 | 123 | $16,666.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $135.73 | 123 | $16,694.18 | $16,733.48 |
+$27.67 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 9:40am ET | $140.99 | 118 | $16,636.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2025 3:55pm ET | $140.99 | 118 | $16,636.23 | $16,733.06 |
$-0.42 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $143.12 | 116 | $16,601.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $145.12 | 116 | $16,833.92 | $16,965.64 |
+$232.58 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $139.22 | 121 | $16,845.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $142.46 | 121 | $17,237.66 | $17,357.68 |
+$392.04 (+2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $144.11 | 120 | $17,292.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $149.54 | 120 | $17,944.80 | $18,009.88 |
+$652.20 (+3.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 11:55am ET | $152.02 | 118 | $17,938.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $147.53 | 118 | $17,407.95 | $17,479.47 |
$-530.41 (-3.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $144.57 | 120 | $17,348.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $143.28 | 120 | $17,193.60 | $17,324.67 |
$-154.80 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $143.25 | 120 | $17,189.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:25am ET | $134.58 | 120 | $16,149.00 | $16,284.27 |
$-1,040.40 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 2:40pm ET | $139.91 | 116 | $16,228.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $144.64 | 116 | $16,777.66 | $16,832.95 |
+$548.68 (+3.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8.1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $144.67 | 116 | $16,781.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $148.00 | 116 | $17,168.00 | $17,219.23 |
+$386.28 (+2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 9:50am ET | $143.41 | 120 | $17,209.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $145.16 | 120 | $17,419.20 | $17,429.23 |
+$210.00 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 3:10pm ET | $146.63 | 118 | $17,302.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $144.65 | 118 | $17,068.70 | $17,195.59 |
$-233.64 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $146.39 | 117 | $17,127.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $144.69 | 117 | $16,928.73 | $16,996.69 |
$-198.90 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $145.61 | 116 | $16,890.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $146.10 | 116 | $16,947.60 | $17,053.53 |
+$56.84 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $148.09 | 115 | $17,030.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $142.04 | 115 | $16,334.60 | $16,357.78 |
$-695.75 (-4.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $136.82 | 119 | $16,281.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $143.68 | 119 | $17,097.92 | $17,174.11 |
+$816.34 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:25pm ET | $143.06 | 120 | $17,167.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $140.92 | 120 | $16,910.40 | $16,917.31 |
$-256.80 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET | $140.32 | 120 | $16,838.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $138.74 | 120 | $16,648.80 | $16,727.71 |
$-189.60 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.09 | 122 | $16,603.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.07 | 122 | $16,600.54 | $16,725.15 |
$-2.56 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $140.37 | 119 | $16,704.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.70 | 119 | $16,504.71 | $16,525.83 |
$-199.32 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 12:00pm ET | $139.22 | 118 | $16,427.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $137.13 | 118 | $16,180.75 | $16,278.62 |
$-247.21 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.05 | 119 | $16,189.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $131.06 | 119 | $15,596.14 | $15,684.81 |
$-593.81 (-3.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:50pm ET | $135.53 | 115 | $15,585.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:50pm ET | $136.26 | 115 | $15,669.90 | $15,768.76 |
+$83.95 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:40pm ET | $135.98 | 115 | $15,637.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.16 | 115 | $16,463.97 | $16,595.61 |
+$826.85 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $140.90 | 117 | $16,485.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET | $146.45 | 117 | $17,134.07 | $17,244.38 |
+$648.77 (+3.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET | $148.76 | 115 | $17,106.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 12:40pm ET | $153.84 | 115 | $17,691.60 | $17,829.15 |
+$584.77 (+3.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET | $154.75 | 115 | $17,796.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.04 | 115 | $18,405.17 | $18,438.07 |
+$608.92 (+3.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.02 | 117 | $18,371.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $162.67 | 117 | $19,032.39 | $19,099.12 |
+$661.05 (+3.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$19,099.12
Net Profit/Loss:
+$9,099.12
Total Return:
+90.99%