Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-21 03:03:29

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.1/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 33.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 32.8

30-Day Momentum

3
-8.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$16,930.33
Current Value
$14,032.31
Period P&L
$-2,898.00
Max Drawdown
-17.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
7 / 8
Best Trade
+5.26%
Worst Trade
-7.20%
Avg Trade Return
-1.06%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$456,588.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,898.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,898.00
Gross Return
-17.12%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $16,930.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $123.13 135 $16,622.55
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $123.13 135 $16,622.55 $16,650.86 $0.00
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $129.85 128 $16,620.80
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $135.20 128 $17,305.60 $17,335.66 +$684.80
(+4.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $134.14 129 $17,304.06
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $130.47 129 $16,830.63 $16,862.23 $-473.43
(-2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:55am ET $132.29 127 $16,800.83
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $122.76 127 $15,590.52 $15,651.92 $-1,210.31
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:45am ET $125.47 124 $15,558.28
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:45am ET $119.12 124 $14,770.88 $14,864.52 $-787.40
(-5.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:10pm ET $119.61 124 $14,831.64
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:45am ET $112.32 124 $13,927.06 $13,959.94 $-904.58
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:45pm ET $117.28 119 $13,956.32
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $123.45 119 $14,690.55 $14,694.17 +$734.23
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $123.64 118 $14,589.52
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $126.06 118 $14,875.08 $14,979.73 +$285.56
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $124.89 119 $14,861.32
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $124.70 119 $14,839.30 $14,957.71 $-22.02
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $117.45 127 $14,916.15
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $114.20 127 $14,503.40 $14,544.96 $-412.75
(-2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:35am ET $116.49 124 $14,444.76
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $122.39 124 $15,176.36 $15,276.56 +$731.60
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3d held
12 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $124.86 122 $15,233.53
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $119.07 122 $14,527.15 $14,570.18 $-706.38
(-4.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
13 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $114.95 126 $14,483.70
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $115.83 126 $14,594.58 $14,681.06 +$110.88
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $117.03 125 $14,628.75
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $118.36 125 $14,795.00 $14,847.31 +$166.25
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $118.01 125 $14,751.25
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $111.49 125 $13,936.25 $14,032.31 $-815.00
(-5.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,032.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,032.31
Total Return: +40.32%
Back to Band Snapper