Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:49:47

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

62
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
25.5/35
Total Return
16.4/25
Win Rate
9.2/15
Profit Factor
6.1/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 63.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 62.2

30-Day Momentum

41
+5.8%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 58.7 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,805
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$18,193.03
Current Value
$19,363.92
Period P&L
$1,170.87
Max Drawdown
-12.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+3.30%
Worst Trade
-2.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.62%
Avg Hold Time
6.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$427,623.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,170.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,170.87
Gross Return
+6.44%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $18,193.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:50pm ET $981.65 18 $17,669.70
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $971.47 18 $17,486.46 $17,860.16 $-183.24
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 3:45pm ET $1,001.01 17 $17,017.17
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $984.98 17 $16,744.66 $17,587.65 $-272.51
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $993.92 17 $16,896.64
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,007.45 17 $17,126.65 $17,817.66 +$230.01
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $997.18 17 $16,952.14
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:30am ET $1,003.37 17 $17,057.22 $17,922.74 +$105.08
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 10:30am ET $991.06 18 $17,839.08
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:30am ET $1,002.56 18 $18,046.08 $18,129.74 +$207.00
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $1,003.27 18 $18,058.77
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $985.66 18 $17,741.97 $17,812.94 $-316.80
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $962.41 18 $17,323.38
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $989.85 18 $17,817.30 $18,306.86 +$493.92
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:20am ET $990.58 18 $17,830.44
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1,012.26 18 $18,220.68 $18,697.10 +$390.24
(+2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $1,015.35 18 $18,276.30
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $993.69 18 $17,886.47 $18,307.27 $-389.83
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $974.01 18 $17,532.18
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $1,006.20 18 $18,111.60 $18,886.69 +$579.42
(+3.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $989.47 19 $18,799.93
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $1,008.75 19 $19,166.25 $19,253.01 +$366.32
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:45am ET $997.66 19 $18,955.59
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $1,003.50 19 $19,066.50 $19,363.92 +$110.91
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,363.92
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,363.92
Total Return: +93.64%
Back to Band Snapper