Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 03:02:39

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.3/35
Total Return
13.4/25
Win Rate
4.5/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 33.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 33.4

30-Day Momentum

4
-13.6%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,252.66
Current Value
$14,032.19
Period P&L
$-3,220.48
Max Drawdown
-17.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.29

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
7 / 10
Best Trade
+6.75%
Worst Trade
-8.69%
Avg Trade Return
-1.27%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$560,754.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,220.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,220.48
Gross Return
-18.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $17,252.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:30pm ET $253.05 69 $17,460.79
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $246.49 69 $17,007.81 $17,253.36 $-452.98
(-2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $239.78 71 $17,024.20
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $237.54 71 $16,865.69 $17,094.85 $-158.51
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $244.47 69 $16,868.43
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:00pm ET $246.45 69 $17,004.71 $17,231.13 +$136.28
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:30pm ET $243.57 70 $17,049.90
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $233.43 70 $16,339.75 $16,520.98 $-710.15
(-4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $239.31 69 $16,512.39
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $255.46 69 $17,626.74 $17,635.33 +$1,114.35
(+6.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $252.80 69 $17,443.10
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $230.82 69 $15,926.58 $16,118.81 $-1,516.52
(-8.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $227.53 70 $15,927.10
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:40am ET $229.28 70 $16,049.60 $16,241.31 +$122.50
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET $226.42 71 $16,076.07
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:40am ET $228.34 71 $16,212.14 $16,377.38 +$136.07
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:40am ET $226.08 72 $16,277.87
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:40am ET $227.85 72 $16,404.84 $16,504.35 +$126.97
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:40am ET $221.96 74 $16,424.67
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $218.41 74 $16,162.34 $16,242.02 $-262.33
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 12:00pm ET $222.72 72 $16,035.84
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $234.90 72 $16,912.44 $17,118.62 +$876.60
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 11:55am ET $255.81 66 $16,883.46
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:55am ET $254.64 66 $16,806.24 $17,041.40 $-77.22
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $263.71 64 $16,877.44
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $277.26 64 $17,744.64 $17,908.60 +$867.20
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 1:55pm ET $323.32 55 $17,782.33
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:45am ET $302.71 55 $16,649.05 $16,775.32 $-1,133.28
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $303.21 55 $16,676.55
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $284.98 55 $15,673.90 $15,772.67 $-1,002.65
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:00pm ET $281.65 56 $15,772.40
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $270.14 56 $15,127.84 $15,128.11 $-644.56
(-4.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $270.03 56 $15,121.68
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $250.46 56 $14,025.76 $14,032.19 $-1,095.92
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,032.19
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,032.19
Total Return: +40.32%
Back to Band Snapper