Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 03:03:27

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.1/35
Total Return
16.1/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 40.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 40.5

30-Day Momentum

45
+8.9%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 63.7 Conf: 0.70×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$18,056.16
Current Value
$18,559.96
Period P&L
$503.83
Max Drawdown
-29.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
7 / 8
Best Trade
+5.56%
Worst Trade
-4.21%
Avg Trade Return
+0.24%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$506,837.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$503.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$503.83
Gross Return
+2.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $18,056.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 2:20pm ET $917.90 19 $17,440.01
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $901.10 19 $17,120.91 $17,744.92 $-319.10
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:05pm ET $913.68 19 $17,359.92
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $888.03 19 $16,872.48 $17,257.48 $-487.44
(-2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $940.00 18 $16,920.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $922.00 18 $16,596.00 $16,933.48 $-324.00
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:30pm ET $954.71 17 $16,230.07
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:30pm ET $928.71 17 $15,788.07 $16,491.48 $-442.00
(-2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:30pm ET $926.08 17 $15,743.28
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $925.46 17 $15,732.85 $16,481.05 $-10.43
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $912.08 18 $16,417.44
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $873.68 18 $15,726.24 $15,789.85 $-691.20
(-4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $871.39 18 $15,685.02
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:00am ET $917.00 18 $16,506.00 $16,610.83 +$820.98
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:55am ET $962.50 17 $16,362.50
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:55am ET $989.17 17 $16,815.89 $17,064.22 +$453.39
(+2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $971.22 17 $16,510.74
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $993.02 17 $16,881.26 $17,434.74 +$370.52
(+2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $1,015.06 17 $17,256.02
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $991.83 17 $16,861.03 $17,039.75 $-394.99
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 11:35am ET $1,010.67 16 $16,170.72
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:40am ET $1,066.84 16 $17,069.44 $17,938.47 +$898.72
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:50am ET $1,061.11 16 $16,977.76
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:45am ET $1,114.23 16 $17,827.68 $18,788.39 +$849.92
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
13 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:45am ET $1,113.19 16 $17,811.04
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $1,071.96 16 $17,151.36 $18,128.71 $-659.68
(-3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:50pm ET $1,132.93 16 $18,126.80
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 1:50pm ET $1,151.22 16 $18,419.60 $18,421.51 +$292.80
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:35am ET $1,134.98 16 $18,159.71
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:35am ET $1,143.64 16 $18,298.16 $18,559.96 +$138.45
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,559.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,559.96
Total Return: +85.60%
Back to Band Snapper