Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 03:03:28

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

62
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
26.1/35
Total Return
17.7/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
5.8/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 62.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 62.0

30-Day Momentum

48
+9.3%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 68.4 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,173.54
Current Value
$23,470.46
Period P&L
$4,296.92
Max Drawdown
-18.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.62

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
10 / 5
Best Trade
+5.58%
Worst Trade
-3.23%
Avg Trade Return
+1.68%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$623,404.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,296.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,296.92
Gross Return
+22.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $19,173.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $158.40 116 $18,374.98
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $165.34 116 $19,179.44 $19,188.62 +$804.46
(+4.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $162.63 117 $19,027.71
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $159.76 117 $18,691.92 $18,852.83 $-335.79
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $166.74 113 $18,841.62
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:00pm ET $166.27 113 $18,788.51 $18,799.72 $-53.11
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $167.61 112 $18,772.32
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $176.96 112 $19,819.52 $19,846.92 +$1,047.20
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $175.31 113 $19,810.03
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $182.41 113 $20,612.89 $20,649.78 +$802.86
(+4.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $191.16 108 $20,645.82
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:45pm ET $190.74 108 $20,599.92 $20,603.88 $-45.90
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $191.13 107 $20,451.44
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:55pm ET $189.28 107 $20,252.96 $20,405.40 $-198.48
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $188.50 108 $20,358.00
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $190.05 108 $20,525.94 $20,573.34 +$167.94
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:45pm ET $189.41 108 $20,456.82
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $192.53 108 $20,793.24 $20,909.76 +$336.42
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
10 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $187.83 111 $20,849.13
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $192.95 111 $21,416.90 $21,477.53 +$567.77
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $189.99 113 $21,469.43
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:55am ET $200.04 113 $22,604.52 $22,612.61 +$1,135.08
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
12 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $201.94 111 $22,415.34
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $201.98 111 $22,419.78 $22,617.05 +$4.44
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:25pm ET $207.09 109 $22,572.81
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $210.60 109 $22,955.40 $22,999.64 +$382.59
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $215.72 106 $22,866.32
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $208.75 106 $22,127.50 $22,260.82 $-738.82
(-3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $207.92 107 $22,247.44
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $219.23 107 $23,457.08 $23,470.46 +$1,209.64
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $23,470.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$13,470.46
Total Return: +134.70%
Back to Band Snapper