Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:16:05

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

58
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.3/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
8.5/15
Profit Factor
6.8/15
Consistency
7.9/10
Raw Quality 60.3/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 57.8

30-Day Momentum

52
+10.2%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
5
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 74.1 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,851
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$20,155.90
Current Value
$20,391.21
Period P&L
$235.34
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
9 / 3
Best Trade
+4.25%
Worst Trade
-4.22%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
6.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$462,397.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$235.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$235.34
Gross Return
+1.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $20,155.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 2:15pm ET $126.61 157 $19,878.55
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $126.76 157 $19,901.32 $20,000.61 +$22.77
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $128.76 155 $19,957.80
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $124.83 155 $19,349.42 $19,392.23 $-608.37
(-3.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $125.75 154 $19,365.50
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $127.08 154 $19,570.32 $19,597.05 +$204.82
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET $127.22 154 $19,591.88
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:35am ET $122.85 154 $18,918.90 $18,924.07 $-672.98
(-3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $125.14 151 $18,896.14
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $126.78 151 $19,143.78 $19,171.71 +$247.64
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $125.82 152 $19,124.64
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $120.51 152 $18,318.28 $18,365.35 $-806.36
(-4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $122.89 149 $18,309.87
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $123.81 149 $18,447.69 $18,503.17 +$137.82
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:50am ET $122.95 150 $18,442.50
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $126.20 150 $18,930.00 $18,990.67 +$487.50
(+2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $126.23 150 $18,934.50
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $126.25 150 $18,938.00 $18,994.17 +$3.50
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $122.74 154 $18,901.96
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $127.96 154 $19,705.84 $19,798.05 +$803.88
(+4.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $129.20 153 $19,767.60
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $129.62 153 $19,831.86 $19,862.31 +$64.26
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:15am ET $127.06 156 $19,821.30
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $130.45 156 $20,350.20 $20,391.21 +$528.90
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,391.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,391.21
Total Return: +103.91%
Back to Band Snapper