Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 03:07:22

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

63
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
26.8/35
Total Return
16.9/25
Win Rate
8.8/15
Profit Factor
5.4/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 63.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 63.0

30-Day Momentum

18
+3.8%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.2 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-45 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$16,327.63
Current Value
$20,802.54
Period P&L
$4,474.95
Max Drawdown
-14.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
10 / 5
Best Trade
+7.13%
Worst Trade
-6.45%
Avg Trade Return
+1.64%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$555,487.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,474.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,474.95
Gross Return
+27.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+27.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $16,327.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $139.22 118 $16,427.96
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $137.13 118 $16,180.75 $16,278.62 $-247.21
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $136.05 119 $16,189.95
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $131.06 119 $15,596.14 $15,684.81 $-593.81
(-3.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:50pm ET $135.53 115 $15,585.95
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:50pm ET $136.26 115 $15,669.90 $15,768.76 +$83.95
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $135.98 115 $15,637.13
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $143.16 115 $16,463.97 $16,595.61 +$826.85
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:10am ET $140.90 117 $16,485.30
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET $146.45 117 $17,134.07 $17,244.38 +$648.77
(+3.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $148.76 115 $17,106.83
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $153.84 115 $17,691.60 $17,829.15 +$584.77
(+3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $154.75 115 $17,796.25
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $160.04 115 $18,405.17 $18,438.07 +$608.92
(+3.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $157.02 117 $18,371.34
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $162.67 117 $19,032.39 $19,099.12 +$661.05
(+3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
9 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $165.70 115 $19,055.14
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 11:35am ET $173.99 115 $20,008.85 $20,052.83 +$953.71
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $177.47 112 $19,876.64
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $177.43 112 $19,872.16 $20,048.35 $-4.48
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
11 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:10am ET $171.89 116 $19,939.24
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:35am ET $180.50 116 $20,938.00 $21,047.11 +$998.76
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
12 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $184.56 114 $21,039.84
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $193.81 114 $22,094.34 $22,101.61 +$1,054.50
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:35pm ET $196.82 112 $22,043.84
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:35am ET $184.84 112 $20,702.08 $20,759.85 $-1,341.76
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $185.04 112 $20,724.48
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $173.11 112 $19,388.32 $19,423.69 $-1,336.16
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $177.30 109 $19,325.70
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $189.95 109 $20,704.55 $20,802.54 +$1,378.85
(+7.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,802.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,802.54
Total Return: +108.03%
Back to Band Snapper