TQQQ Band Snapper's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 33 trades in period
-15.71%
Last 6 Months Return
$20,566.39
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$24,400.42
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
40
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
8.7/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
40.6/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 39.9
30-Day Momentum
70
+42.9%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
6
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 94.3
Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+30 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,633
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$24,400.42
Current Value
$20,566.39
Period P&L
$-3,834.00
Max Drawdown
-42.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
16 /
17
Best Trade
+12.45%
Worst Trade
-8.66%
Avg Trade Return
-0.25%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,318,896.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,834.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,834.00
Gross Return
-15.71%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.71%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $24,400.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.07 | 430 | $23,677.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $51.33 | 430 | $22,069.75 | $22,082.70 |
$-1,608.20 (-6.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $55.71 | 396 | $22,061.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 1:20pm ET | $52.36 | 396 | $20,735.87 | $20,757.41 |
$-1,325.29 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:35pm ET | $52.47 | 395 | $20,725.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 9:50am ET | $49.10 | 395 | $19,394.50 | $19,426.26 |
$-1,331.15 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 12:00pm ET | $49.39 | 393 | $19,410.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $52.82 | 393 | $20,758.22 | $20,773.62 |
+$1,347.36 (+6.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:00am ET | $46.46 | 447 | $20,768.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 2:05pm ET | $48.83 | 447 | $21,827.01 | $21,831.67 |
+$1,058.05 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $50.63 | 431 | $21,819.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 10:55am ET | $53.20 | 431 | $22,927.17 | $22,939.47 |
+$1,107.80 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $53.38 | 429 | $22,900.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $56.37 | 429 | $24,180.59 | $24,219.99 |
+$1,280.52 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 10:50am ET | $55.85 | 433 | $24,181.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 11:35am ET | $52.38 | 433 | $22,680.54 | $22,719.38 |
$-1,500.60 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 1:20pm ET | $52.14 | 435 | $22,680.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $54.24 | 435 | $23,592.23 | $23,630.71 |
+$911.33 (+4.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 10:10am ET | $55.17 | 428 | $23,612.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 1:45pm ET | $51.74 | 428 | $22,142.58 | $22,160.53 |
$-1,470.18 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 2:25pm ET | $53.59 | 413 | $22,130.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 2:30pm ET | $56.28 | 413 | $23,242.86 | $23,272.78 |
+$1,112.25 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $55.10 | 422 | $23,252.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $51.76 | 422 | $21,842.68 | $21,863.26 |
$-1,409.52 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:05pm ET | $51.14 | 427 | $21,836.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $53.72 | 427 | $22,936.31 | $22,962.78 |
+$1,099.53 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $53.78 | 426 | $22,910.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $56.49 | 426 | $24,064.74 | $24,117.24 |
+$1,154.46 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:50am ET | $56.78 | 424 | $24,075.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET | $53.11 | 424 | $22,518.64 | $22,560.31 |
$-1,556.93 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:15am ET | $54.72 | 412 | $22,544.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:50pm ET | $51.38 | 412 | $21,168.56 | $21,184.19 |
$-1,376.12 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.63 | 435 | $21,155.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $51.15 | 435 | $22,251.77 | $22,280.44 |
+$1,096.24 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:15pm ET | $51.66 | 431 | $22,265.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 1:15pm ET | $48.54 | 431 | $20,920.74 | $20,935.72 |
$-1,344.72 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 2:35pm ET | $49.15 | 425 | $20,888.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $48.24 | 425 | $20,502.00 | $20,548.93 |
$-386.79 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.20 | 401 | $20,531.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.76 | 401 | $18,752.76 | $18,770.49 |
$-1,778.44 (-8.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:10pm ET | $50.40 | 372 | $18,750.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:35pm ET | $47.29 | 372 | $17,593.74 | $17,613.57 |
$-1,156.92 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $49.77 | 353 | $17,568.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $46.73 | 353 | $16,495.69 | $16,540.45 |
$-1,073.12 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $47.23 | 350 | $16,530.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $44.36 | 350 | $15,526.49 | $15,536.44 |
$-1,004.01 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $44.60 | 348 | $15,520.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:50am ET | $44.54 | 348 | $15,499.95 | $15,515.60 |
$-20.84 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $43.33 | 358 | $15,510.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.44 | 358 | $14,477.52 | $14,482.77 |
$-1,032.83 (-6.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $38.60 | 375 | $14,474.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $40.85 | 375 | $15,318.75 | $15,326.56 |
+$843.79 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $43.54 | 351 | $15,284.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $40.88 | 351 | $14,350.63 | $14,392.90 |
$-933.66 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $43.35 | 332 | $14,392.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.75 | 332 | $16,185.00 | $16,185.00 |
+$1,792.10 (+12.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:25pm ET | $48.46 | 334 | $16,183.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.65 | 334 | $17,249.43 | $17,250.46 |
+$1,065.46 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $54.13 | 318 | $17,214.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:15pm ET | $56.86 | 318 | $18,081.48 | $18,117.01 |
+$866.55 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $58.50 | 309 | $18,076.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 1:20pm ET | $59.81 | 309 | $18,479.75 | $18,519.95 |
+$402.94 (+2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $58.93 | 314 | $18,504.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $62.31 | 314 | $19,565.31 | $19,581.24 |
+$1,061.29 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.58 | 323 | $19,567.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:15pm ET | $63.63 | 323 | $20,552.49 | $20,566.39 |
+$985.15 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$20,566.39
Net Profit/Loss:
+$10,566.39
Total Return:
+105.66%