Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 03:05:33

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.7/35
Total Return
17.3/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 45.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 45.1

30-Day Momentum

21
+2.0%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.7 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,866
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$18,631.34
Current Value
$21,923.79
Period P&L
$3,292.50
Max Drawdown
-30.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
19 / 10
Best Trade
+6.94%
Worst Trade
-15.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.72%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,111,734.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,292.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,292.50
Gross Return
+17.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $18,631.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $344.89 54 $18,624.22
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $352.23 54 $19,020.42 $19,027.50 +$396.20
(+2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $354.55 53 $18,790.89
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $333.17 53 $17,657.75 $17,894.36 $-1,133.14
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:40pm ET $329.26 54 $17,780.04
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $330.75 54 $17,860.50 $17,974.82 +$80.46
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $329.13 54 $17,773.02
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:55pm ET $309.37 54 $16,705.98 $16,907.78 $-1,067.04
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:45pm ET $316.60 53 $16,779.54
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:25pm ET $333.18 53 $17,658.80 $17,787.05 +$879.27
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $346.32 51 $17,662.07
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:30pm ET $325.51 51 $16,601.01 $16,726.00 $-1,061.05
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $328.80 50 $16,440.25
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $332.31 50 $16,615.50 $16,901.25 +$175.25
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $317.18 53 $16,810.54
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:00am ET $335.38 53 $17,774.88 $17,865.58 +$964.34
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $338.12 52 $17,582.01
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $340.88 52 $17,725.76 $18,009.33 +$143.75
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 3:45pm ET $335.29 53 $17,770.37
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:45pm ET $321.05 53 $17,015.39 $17,254.35 $-754.98
(-4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $312.35 55 $17,179.36
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $319.58 55 $17,576.90 $17,651.89 +$397.54
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:10pm ET $318.57 55 $17,521.35
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $299.40 55 $16,467.27 $16,597.81 $-1,054.08
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:10pm ET $291.88 56 $16,345.28
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $307.25 56 $17,206.00 $17,458.53 +$860.72
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $312.77 55 $17,202.35
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $311.78 55 $17,147.90 $17,404.08 $-54.45
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $328.82 52 $17,098.64
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $351.63 52 $18,284.76 $18,590.20 +$1,186.12
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $356.45 52 $18,535.14
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:00am ET $375.63 52 $19,532.50 $19,587.56 +$997.36
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:45pm ET $378.45 51 $19,300.95
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET $398.53 51 $20,325.03 $20,611.64 +$1,024.08
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $401.99 51 $20,501.62
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:00pm ET $416.34 51 $21,233.34 $21,343.36 +$731.72
(+3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $424.93 50 $21,246.75
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET $398.79 50 $19,939.25 $20,035.86 $-1,307.50
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:55am ET $399.10 50 $19,955.00
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $421.58 50 $21,079.00 $21,159.86 +$1,124.00
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
21 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:55am ET $419.62 50 $20,981.00
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $427.61 50 $21,380.75 $21,559.61 +$399.75
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
22 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $422.84 50 $21,142.00
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $421.44 50 $21,072.00 $21,489.61 $-70.00
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
23 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $409.71 52 $21,305.18
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $418.94 52 $21,784.88 $21,969.31 +$479.70
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
24 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:30am ET $417.02 52 $21,684.78
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $441.23 52 $22,943.96 $23,228.49 +$1,259.18
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:30pm ET $459.08 50 $22,954.25
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $488.34 50 $24,417.00 $24,691.24 +$1,462.75
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:40pm ET $483.19 51 $24,642.69
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $410.39 51 $20,929.64 $20,978.19 $-3,713.05
(-15.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $404.00 51 $20,603.92
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $378.17 51 $19,286.67 $19,660.94 $-1,317.25
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $372.00 52 $19,344.00
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $395.25 52 $20,553.00 $20,869.94 +$1,209.00
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $389.88 53 $20,663.64
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $409.76 53 $21,717.49 $21,923.79 +$1,053.85
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,923.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,923.79
Total Return: +119.24%
Back to Band Snapper