Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:17:07

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.8/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 36.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 36.1

30-Day Momentum

2
-3.8%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,766
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$18,058.81
Current Value
$16,610.83
Period P&L
$-1,447.95
Max Drawdown
-29.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
5 / 12
Best Trade
+6.97%
Worst Trade
-6.25%
Avg Trade Return
-0.44%
Avg Hold Time
5.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$588,832.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,447.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,447.95
Gross Return
-8.02%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $18,058.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 2:50pm ET $1,072.78 16 $17,164.48
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,041.44 16 $16,663.04 $17,520.23 $-501.44
(-2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 2:30pm ET $1,097.61 15 $16,464.15
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,073.81 15 $16,107.15 $17,163.23 $-357.00
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:40pm ET $1,046.18 16 $16,738.88
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,063.07 16 $17,009.12 $17,433.47 +$270.24
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $1,019.00 17 $17,323.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $1,090.07 17 $18,531.19 $18,641.65 +$1,208.19
(+7.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $1,048.31 17 $17,821.27
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $1,105.51 17 $18,793.67 $19,614.05 +$972.40
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET $1,044.18 18 $18,795.24
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,020.16 18 $18,362.88 $19,181.69 $-432.36
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
8.3d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:55am ET $1,015.99 18 $18,287.82
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,051.71 18 $18,930.78 $19,824.65 +$642.96
(+3.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.3d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $1,009.57 19 $19,181.83
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $987.00 19 $18,753.00 $19,395.82 $-428.83
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,002.04 19 $19,038.76
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $992.85 19 $18,864.24 $19,221.31 $-174.51
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $974.24 19 $18,510.56
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:45am ET $913.33 19 $17,353.27 $18,064.02 $-1,157.29
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 2:20pm ET $917.90 19 $17,440.01
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $901.10 19 $17,120.91 $17,744.92 $-319.10
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:05pm ET $913.68 19 $17,359.92
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $888.03 19 $16,872.48 $17,257.48 $-487.44
(-2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $940.00 18 $16,920.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $922.00 18 $16,596.00 $16,933.48 $-324.00
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:30pm ET $954.71 17 $16,230.07
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:30pm ET $928.71 17 $15,788.07 $16,491.48 $-442.00
(-2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:30pm ET $926.08 17 $15,743.28
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $925.46 17 $15,732.85 $16,481.05 $-10.43
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $912.08 18 $16,417.44
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $873.68 18 $15,726.24 $15,789.85 $-691.20
(-4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $871.39 18 $15,685.02
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:00am ET $917.00 18 $16,506.00 $16,610.83 +$820.98
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,610.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,610.83
Total Return: +66.11%
Back to Band Snapper