MU Band Snapper's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 30 trades in period
+83.88%
Year to Date Return
$34,683.96
Current Value
70%
Win Rate
$18,862.23
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
52
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
16.0/35
Total Return
19.9/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
3.5/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
53.2/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 52.5
30-Day Momentum
79
+59.3%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
8
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 97.1
Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+26 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,474
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$18,862.23
Current Value
$34,683.96
Period P&L
$15,821.70
Max Drawdown
-54.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.40
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
21 /
9
Best Trade
+9.58%
Worst Trade
-8.85%
Avg Trade Return
+2.25%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,526,431.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$15,821.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$15,821.70
Gross Return
+83.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+83.88%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $18,862.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 3:50pm ET | $284.40 | 66 | $18,770.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.59 | 66 | $19,970.94 | $19,976.99 |
+$1,200.54 (+6.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $312.88 | 63 | $19,711.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $329.24 | 63 | $20,741.99 | $21,007.55 |
+$1,030.55 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:50pm ET | $339.92 | 61 | $20,735.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $333.34 | 61 | $20,333.74 | $20,606.17 |
$-401.38 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $336.62 | 61 | $20,533.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $359.80 | 61 | $21,947.83 | $22,020.18 |
+$1,414.01 (+6.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 12:00pm ET | $364.54 | 60 | $21,872.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:10am ET | $383.03 | 60 | $22,981.80 | $23,129.58 |
+$1,109.40 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $393.57 | 58 | $22,827.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $414.10 | 58 | $24,017.80 | $24,320.32 |
+$1,190.74 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $429.57 | 56 | $24,055.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $451.58 | 56 | $25,288.48 | $25,552.88 |
+$1,232.56 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $437.23 | 58 | $25,359.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:55pm ET | $409.55 | 58 | $23,754.19 | $23,947.74 |
$-1,605.13 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $367.34 | 65 | $23,877.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 2:15pm ET | $385.84 | 65 | $25,079.60 | $25,150.24 |
+$1,202.50 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $372.10 | 67 | $24,930.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $391.42 | 67 | $26,225.47 | $26,445.02 |
+$1,294.77 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 2:55pm ET | $373.72 | 70 | $26,160.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.54 | 70 | $28,037.80 | $28,322.42 |
+$1,877.40 (+7.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 3:05pm ET | $415.93 | 68 | $28,283.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $428.07 | 68 | $29,108.76 | $29,147.94 |
+$825.52 (+2.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $427.84 | 68 | $29,093.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $401.40 | 68 | $27,295.20 | $27,350.02 |
$-1,797.92 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 10:15am ET | $381.43 | 71 | $27,081.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:25am ET | $401.71 | 71 | $28,521.06 | $28,789.62 |
+$1,439.60 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $395.91 | 72 | $28,505.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $372.08 | 72 | $26,789.76 | $27,073.86 |
$-1,715.76 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $409.36 | 66 | $27,018.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $446.54 | 66 | $29,471.64 | $29,527.41 |
+$2,453.55 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 1:10pm ET | $465.15 | 63 | $29,304.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $424.00 | 63 | $26,712.00 | $26,934.96 |
$-2,592.45 (-8.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $441.21 | 61 | $26,913.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:35am ET | $413.52 | 61 | $25,225.02 | $25,246.18 |
$-1,688.78 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $392.23 | 64 | $25,102.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $367.71 | 64 | $23,533.76 | $23,677.54 |
$-1,568.64 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:20pm ET | $362.37 | 65 | $23,554.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $340.44 | 65 | $22,128.60 | $22,252.09 |
$-1,425.45 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 11:50am ET | $316.86 | 70 | $22,180.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 3:00pm ET | $332.77 | 70 | $23,293.90 | $23,365.44 |
+$1,113.35 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 3:00pm ET | $366.12 | 63 | $23,065.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $340.91 | 63 | $21,477.08 | $21,776.96 |
$-1,588.48 (-6.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 3:25pm ET | $377.96 | 57 | $21,543.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $414.18 | 57 | $23,608.54 | $23,841.79 |
+$2,064.83 (+9.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $415.26 | 57 | $23,669.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 10:20am ET | $437.65 | 57 | $24,946.05 | $25,118.03 |
+$1,276.24 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:20am ET | $445.49 | 56 | $24,947.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $469.57 | 56 | $26,295.92 | $26,466.51 |
+$1,348.48 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $453.00 | 58 | $26,274.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $478.04 | 58 | $27,726.32 | $27,918.83 |
+$1,452.32 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $481.86 | 57 | $27,466.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $511.92 | 57 | $29,179.44 | $29,631.97 |
+$1,713.14 (+6.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $502.27 | 58 | $29,131.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $527.40 | 58 | $30,589.20 | $31,089.51 |
+$1,457.54 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $507.90 | 61 | $30,982.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $537.09 | 61 | $32,762.79 | $32,870.12 |
+$1,780.61 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 12:10pm ET | $576.98 | 56 | $32,310.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $609.37 | 56 | $34,124.72 | $34,683.96 |
+$1,813.84 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$34,683.96
Net Profit/Loss:
+$24,683.96
Total Return:
+246.84%