TQQQ Band Snapper's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 36 trades in period
-3.39%
Year to Date Return
$21,812.47
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$22,577.86
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
42
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.8/35
Total Return
17.2/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality
42.0/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 41.7
30-Day Momentum
20
+3.6%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.3
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,898
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$22,577.86
Current Value
$21,812.47
Period P&L
$-765.36
Max Drawdown
-42.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
18 /
18
Best Trade
+12.45%
Worst Trade
-8.66%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,444,572.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-765.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$-765.36
Gross Return
-3.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.39%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $22,577.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 10:10am ET | $55.17 | 428 | $23,612.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 1:45pm ET | $51.74 | 428 | $22,142.58 | $22,160.53 |
$-1,470.18 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 2:25pm ET | $53.59 | 413 | $22,130.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 2:30pm ET | $56.28 | 413 | $23,242.86 | $23,272.78 |
+$1,112.25 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 3:25pm ET | $55.10 | 422 | $23,252.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $51.76 | 422 | $21,842.68 | $21,863.26 |
$-1,409.52 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:05pm ET | $51.14 | 427 | $21,836.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $53.72 | 427 | $22,936.31 | $22,962.78 |
+$1,099.53 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $53.78 | 426 | $22,910.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $56.49 | 426 | $24,064.74 | $24,117.24 |
+$1,154.46 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:50am ET | $56.78 | 424 | $24,075.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET | $53.11 | 424 | $22,518.64 | $22,560.31 |
$-1,556.93 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:15am ET | $54.72 | 412 | $22,544.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:50pm ET | $51.38 | 412 | $21,168.56 | $21,184.19 |
$-1,376.12 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.63 | 435 | $21,155.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $51.15 | 435 | $22,251.77 | $22,280.44 |
+$1,096.24 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:15pm ET | $51.66 | 431 | $22,265.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 1:15pm ET | $48.54 | 431 | $20,920.74 | $20,935.72 |
$-1,344.72 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 2:35pm ET | $49.15 | 425 | $20,888.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $48.24 | 425 | $20,502.00 | $20,548.93 |
$-386.79 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10.1d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.20 | 401 | $20,531.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $46.76 | 401 | $18,752.76 | $18,770.49 |
$-1,778.44 (-8.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:10pm ET | $50.40 | 372 | $18,750.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:35pm ET | $47.29 | 372 | $17,593.74 | $17,613.57 |
$-1,156.92 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $49.77 | 353 | $17,568.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $46.73 | 353 | $16,495.69 | $16,540.45 |
$-1,073.12 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:25pm ET | $47.23 | 350 | $16,530.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $44.36 | 350 | $15,526.49 | $15,536.44 |
$-1,004.01 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $44.60 | 348 | $15,520.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:50am ET | $44.54 | 348 | $15,499.95 | $15,515.60 |
$-20.84 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $43.33 | 358 | $15,510.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.44 | 358 | $14,477.52 | $14,482.77 |
$-1,032.83 (-6.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $38.60 | 375 | $14,474.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET | $40.85 | 375 | $15,318.75 | $15,326.56 |
+$843.79 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:00pm ET | $43.54 | 351 | $15,284.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $40.88 | 351 | $14,350.63 | $14,392.90 |
$-933.66 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET | $43.35 | 332 | $14,392.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.75 | 332 | $16,185.00 | $16,185.00 |
+$1,792.10 (+12.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 2:25pm ET | $48.46 | 334 | $16,183.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.65 | 334 | $17,249.43 | $17,250.46 |
+$1,065.46 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $54.13 | 318 | $17,214.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:15pm ET | $56.86 | 318 | $18,081.48 | $18,117.01 |
+$866.55 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $58.50 | 309 | $18,076.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 1:20pm ET | $59.81 | 309 | $18,479.75 | $18,519.95 |
+$402.94 (+2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $58.93 | 314 | $18,504.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $62.31 | 314 | $19,565.31 | $19,581.24 |
+$1,061.29 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.58 | 323 | $19,567.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:15pm ET | $63.63 | 323 | $20,552.49 | $20,566.39 |
+$985.15 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $65.18 | 315 | $20,532.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.05 | 315 | $21,750.75 | $21,784.81 |
+$1,218.42 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:00pm ET | $71.93 | 302 | $21,722.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 1:00pm ET | $75.54 | 302 | $22,811.57 | $22,873.49 |
+$1,088.68 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 3:00pm ET | $76.67 | 298 | $22,847.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 12:45pm ET | $71.86 | 298 | $21,412.79 | $21,438.62 |
$-1,434.87 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 1:10pm ET | $78.89 | 271 | $21,380.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $73.68 | 271 | $19,967.28 | $20,025.36 |
$-1,413.26 (-6.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 10:35am ET | $71.35 | 280 | $19,978.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 10:20am ET | $75.00 | 280 | $21,000.31 | $21,047.67 |
+$1,022.31 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $74.83 | 281 | $21,027.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $79.01 | 281 | $22,203.21 | $22,223.65 |
+$1,175.98 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $80.61 | 275 | $22,167.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $84.94 | 275 | $23,358.28 | $23,414.18 |
+$1,190.53 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 3:50pm ET | $85.98 | 272 | $23,386.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $80.67 | 272 | $21,940.88 | $21,968.23 |
$-1,445.95 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET | $76.84 | 285 | $21,899.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET | $71.82 | 285 | $20,468.70 | $20,537.53 |
$-1,430.70 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:50am ET | $70.65 | 290 | $20,488.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET | $74.66 | 290 | $21,651.40 | $21,700.43 |
+$1,162.90 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET | $77.03 | 281 | $21,645.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.88 | 281 | $23,289.28 | $23,344.28 |
+$1,643.85 (+7.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $84.24 | 277 | $23,334.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $78.71 | 277 | $21,802.67 | $21,812.47 |
$-1,531.81 (-6.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$21,812.47
Net Profit/Loss:
+$11,812.47
Total Return:
+118.12%