UVXY Band Snapper's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 30 trades in period
+94.23%
Year to Date Return
$27,692.78
Current Value
73%
Win Rate
$14,257.85
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
46
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
13.7/35
Total Return
18.7/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
46.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 45.8
30-Day Momentum
9
-3.6%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.1
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-36 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,850
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$14,257.85
Current Value
$27,692.78
Period P&L
$13,434.90
Max Drawdown
-45.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.43
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
22 /
8
Best Trade
+13.92%
Worst Trade
-8.18%
Avg Trade Return
+2.45%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,321,646.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$13,434.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$13,434.90
Gross Return
+94.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+94.23%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Band Snapper had $14,257.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 2:40pm ET | $35.30 | 398 | $14,047.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $35.64 | 398 | $14,184.72 | $14,195.46 |
+$136.87 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
8.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $35.05 | 404 | $14,160.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $36.92 | 404 | $14,915.68 | $14,950.33 |
+$754.87 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $35.23 | 424 | $14,937.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.75 | 424 | $16,430.38 | $16,443.19 |
+$1,492.86 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.12 | 420 | $16,431.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $36.12 | 420 | $15,170.27 | $15,181.51 |
$-1,261.68 (-7.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:25pm ET | $34.57 | 439 | $15,176.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $36.40 | 439 | $15,979.64 | $15,984.93 |
+$803.41 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:00pm ET | $37.78 | 423 | $15,980.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $35.46 | 423 | $14,999.58 | $15,003.57 |
$-981.36 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $36.69 | 408 | $14,971.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $39.40 | 408 | $16,073.16 | $16,105.17 |
+$1,101.60 (+7.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:05pm ET | $39.08 | 412 | $16,103.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:40pm ET | $41.18 | 412 | $16,966.16 | $16,968.31 |
+$863.14 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 3:40pm ET | $36.87 | 460 | $16,957.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 11:15am ET | $38.73 | 460 | $17,815.85 | $17,826.25 |
+$857.94 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 12:00pm ET | $38.03 | 468 | $17,798.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:20pm ET | $40.18 | 468 | $18,804.19 | $18,832.41 |
+$1,006.15 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $37.98 | 495 | $18,798.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $40.20 | 495 | $19,899.00 | $19,933.34 |
+$1,100.93 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $39.94 | 499 | $19,932.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 11:05am ET | $37.54 | 499 | $18,732.46 | $18,733.64 |
$-1,199.69 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 2:05pm ET | $38.07 | 492 | $18,730.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $40.56 | 492 | $19,955.52 | $19,958.72 |
+$1,225.08 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 11:45am ET | $39.83 | 501 | $19,957.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.38 | 501 | $22,735.38 | $22,736.77 |
+$2,778.05 (+13.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $41.97 | 541 | $22,705.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $44.15 | 541 | $23,885.15 | $23,916.15 |
+$1,179.38 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 11:50am ET | $51.49 | 464 | $23,891.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $48.35 | 464 | $22,436.72 | $22,461.51 |
$-1,454.64 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $47.53 | 472 | $22,431.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $50.01 | 472 | $23,604.72 | $23,634.43 |
+$1,172.92 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:55am ET | $48.11 | 491 | $23,622.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $50.73 | 491 | $24,908.43 | $24,920.85 |
+$1,286.42 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $46.60 | 534 | $24,884.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 10:20am ET | $49.07 | 534 | $26,203.38 | $26,239.83 |
+$1,318.98 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 12:05pm ET | $50.97 | 514 | $26,198.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 2:50pm ET | $53.67 | 514 | $27,586.38 | $27,627.63 |
+$1,387.80 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.31 | 560 | $27,613.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $52.00 | 560 | $29,120.00 | $29,134.03 |
+$1,506.40 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.06 | 501 | $29,088.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 1:25pm ET | $61.23 | 501 | $30,676.23 | $30,722.20 |
+$1,588.17 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:15pm ET | $53.01 | 579 | $30,692.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 12:00pm ET | $49.56 | 579 | $28,694.49 | $28,723.90 |
$-1,998.30 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 2:05pm ET | $51.29 | 560 | $28,722.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:05pm ET | $52.13 | 560 | $29,190.00 | $29,191.44 |
+$467.54 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $43.15 | 676 | $29,168.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $40.49 | 676 | $27,371.24 | $27,394.30 |
$-1,797.14 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $41.42 | 661 | $27,378.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.03 | 661 | $25,137.76 | $25,153.44 |
$-2,240.86 (-8.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.30 | 656 | $25,126.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.76 | 656 | $25,426.56 | $25,453.76 |
+$300.32 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $38.72 | 657 | $25,439.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $40.75 | 657 | $26,772.75 | $26,787.47 |
+$1,333.71 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:55pm ET | $38.84 | 689 | $26,760.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:55pm ET | $38.15 | 689 | $26,285.35 | $26,312.06 |
$-475.41 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 3:15pm ET | $36.47 | 721 | $26,298.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 12:10pm ET | $38.39 | 721 | $27,679.19 | $27,692.78 |
+$1,380.72 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$27,692.78
Net Profit/Loss:
+$17,692.78
Total Return:
+176.93%