Compendium › Bruno Breakout › ARM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ARM
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-18 to present • 4 trades in period

+55.57%
Last Month Return
$19,883.32
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$12,780.56
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-18 22:41:31

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 18, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.0/35
Total Return
16.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 34.2/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 28.9

30-Day Momentum

59
+56.1%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
4.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 89.6 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+30 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-18 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,780.56
Current Value
$19,883.32
Period P&L
$7,102.76
Max Drawdown
-31.5%
Sharpe Ratio
1.15

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+24.42%
Worst Trade
-5.02%
Avg Trade Return
+12.42%
Avg Hold Time
5.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$131,707.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,102.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,102.76
Gross Return
+55.57%
Net Return (after fees)
+55.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $12,780.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $209.82 60 $12,589.26 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $241.37 60 $14,482.23 $14,630.09 +$1,892.97
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $317.99 46 $14,627.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $395.64 46 $18,199.44 $18,201.99 +$3,571.90
(+24.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $354.78 51 $18,093.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET $336.98 51 $17,186.23 $17,294.44 $-907.55
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $353.54 48 $16,969.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $407.48 48 $19,558.80 $19,883.32 +$2,588.88
(+15.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,883.32
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,883.32
Total Return: +98.83%
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