Compendium › Bruno Breakout › LLY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LLY
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-20 to present • 2 trades in period

-4.58%
Last Month Return
$12,022.84
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$12,599.38
Period Start
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PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 16:31:19

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.7/35
Total Return
11.0/25
Win Rate
0.4/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 21.0/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 15.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,599.38
Current Value
$12,022.84
Period P&L
$-576.54
Max Drawdown
-19.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.49

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
1 / 1
Best Trade
+15.27%
Worst Trade
-5.18%
Avg Trade Return
+5.04%
Avg Hold Time
17.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$45,668.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-576.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$-576.54
Gross Return
-4.58%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $12,599.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $899.30 12 $10,791.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 10:40am ET $1,036.58 12 $12,439.02 $12,619.84 +$1,647.42
(+15.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $1,151.72 10 $11,517.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 10:50am ET $1,092.02 10 $10,920.20 $12,022.84 $-597.00
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,022.84
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,022.84
Total Return: +20.23%
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