Compendium › Bruno Breakout › MRK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRK
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-2.77%
Last Year Return
$8,498.84
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$8,741.33
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:24:09

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 4, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 12%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
33.4/35
Total Return
33.4/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
8.1/15
Consistency
2.4/10
Raw Quality 77.8/100
× Confidence 0.12 = 9.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (12%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,397
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,741.33
Current Value
$8,498.84
Period P&L
$-242.49
Max Drawdown
-21.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+8.95%
Worst Trade
-5.22%
Avg Trade Return
-0.54%
Avg Hold Time
17.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$66,308.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-242.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$-242.49
Gross Return
-2.77%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.77%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $8,741.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $79.16 110 $8,707.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 10:35am ET $75.03 110 $8,252.75 $8,286.48 $-454.85
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2025 9:30am ET $84.08 98 $8,239.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 9:40am ET $79.70 98 $7,810.11 $7,856.75 $-429.73
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET $85.90 91 $7,816.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $93.59 91 $8,516.24 $8,556.08 +$699.33
(+8.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $118.21 72 $8,511.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $117.42 72 $8,453.88 $8,498.84 $-57.24
(-0.7%) 		📅 Sim Ended
7.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,498.84
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,501.16
Total Return: -15.01%
Back to Bruno Breakout