Compendium › Bruno Breakout › MRNA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRNA
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 24 trades in period

-14.27%
Last Year Return
$6,325.36
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$7,378.43
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:29:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality 3.2/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
33,446
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$7,378.43
Current Value
$6,325.36
Period P&L
$-1,053.07
Max Drawdown
-64.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
6 / 18
Best Trade
+16.81%
Worst Trade
-6.40%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$298,821.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,053.07
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,053.07
Gross Return
-14.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $7,378.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $27.00 265 $7,155.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 1:00pm ET $25.49 265 $6,753.53 $6,762.30 $-401.48
(-5.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 9:30am ET $25.14 268 $6,737.52 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2025 9:30am ET $23.71 268 $6,354.17 $6,378.95 $-383.35
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
3 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $26.68 239 $6,375.33 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2025 10:35am ET $25.29 239 $6,044.62 $6,048.25 $-330.70
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET $28.69 210 $6,024.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2025 9:30am ET $26.86 210 $5,639.55 $5,662.90 $-385.35
(-6.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2025 9:30am ET $28.44 199 $5,658.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2025 10:30am ET $32.84 199 $6,535.16 $6,539.50 +$876.60
(+15.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2025 9:30am ET $33.53 195 $6,538.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 11:00am ET $31.77 195 $6,195.15 $6,196.30 $-343.20
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 9:30am ET $33.94 182 $6,177.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 11:25am ET $32.19 182 $5,859.47 $5,878.20 $-318.10
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET $28.21 208 $5,867.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 10:40am ET $26.73 208 $5,559.84 $5,570.36 $-307.84
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2025 9:30am ET $26.22 212 $5,558.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2025 1:15pm ET $24.89 212 $5,276.19 $5,287.91 $-282.45
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 9:30am ET $24.62 214 $5,267.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 3:50pm ET $28.32 214 $6,060.48 $6,080.78 +$792.87
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16.3d held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET $27.72 219 $6,069.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $26.29 219 $5,757.51 $5,768.70 $-312.08
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $27.02 213 $5,754.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 2:55pm ET $25.64 213 $5,461.32 $5,475.82 $-292.88
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 11:15am ET $26.72 204 $5,450.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 10:30am ET $25.27 204 $5,155.08 $5,180.00 $-295.82
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $24.52 211 $5,173.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET $23.20 211 $4,895.20 $4,901.48 $-278.52
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $32.15 152 $4,886.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:05pm ET $36.99 152 $5,622.48 $5,637.16 +$735.68
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $35.32 159 $5,615.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:35am ET $41.25 159 $6,558.75 $6,580.83 +$943.67
(+16.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $44.38 148 $6,567.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $51.04 148 $7,553.77 $7,567.10 +$986.27
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $50.15 150 $7,522.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $47.62 150 $7,143.63 $7,188.34 $-378.76
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $46.51 154 $7,162.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:05pm ET $44.11 154 $6,792.94 $6,818.74 $-369.60
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:35pm ET $44.77 152 $6,805.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $42.24 152 $6,421.07 $6,434.77 $-383.97
(-5.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
48m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $46.90 137 $6,425.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 11:55am ET $54.13 137 $7,415.81 $7,425.55 +$990.78
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $51.94 142 $7,376.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 11:45am ET $49.27 142 $6,996.34 $7,045.84 $-379.71
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $53.07 132 $7,005.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $50.17 132 $6,622.44 $6,663.28 $-382.56
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $51.99 128 $6,654.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:30am ET $49.35 128 $6,316.80 $6,325.36 $-337.92
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,325.36
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,674.64
Total Return: -36.75%
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