Compendium › Bruno Breakout › PEP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PEP
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 3 trades in period

+5.63%
Last Year Return
$9,190.56
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$8,700.41
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:55:57

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 12%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
34.8/35
Total Return
28.0/25
Win Rate
2.6/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
2.4/10
Raw Quality 83.1/100
× Confidence 0.12 = 10.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (12%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,673
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,700.41
Current Value
$9,190.56
Period P&L
$490.15
Max Drawdown
-15.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+7.81%
Worst Trade
-1.64%
Avg Trade Return
+1.94%
Avg Hold Time
32.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$54,870.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$490.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$490.15
Gross Return
+5.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $8,700.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 9:30am ET $143.95 60 $8,637.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $155.19 60 $9,311.36 $9,374.62 +$674.21
(+7.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 9:30am ET $148.29 63 $9,342.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $145.86 63 $9,188.87 $9,221.09 $-153.53
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $167.47 55 $9,210.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $166.91 55 $9,180.32 $9,190.56 $-30.53
(-0.3%) 		📅 Sim Ended
6.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,190.56
Net Profit/Loss: $-809.44
Total Return: -8.09%
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