Compendium › Bruno Breakout › RIOT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RIOT
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 25 trades in period

+15.19%
Last Year Return
$8,208.67
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$7,126.44
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:03:47

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 4.8/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 4.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
38,347
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$7,126.44
Current Value
$8,208.67
Period P&L
$1,082.23
Max Drawdown
-53.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
8 / 17
Best Trade
+17.21%
Worst Trade
-10.23%
Avg Trade Return
+1.05%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$374,012.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,082.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,082.23
Gross Return
+15.19%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $7,126.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 9:30am ET $8.17 872 $7,124.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 12:00pm ET $9.44 872 $8,231.68 $8,233.88 +$1,107.44
(+15.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 9:30am ET $9.30 884 $8,224.65 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $8.63 884 $7,624.50 $7,633.73 $-600.15
(-7.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2025 9:30am ET $9.48 805 $7,633.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2025 12:20pm ET $9.00 805 $7,242.67 $7,243.22 $-390.51
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET $10.29 703 $7,233.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 9:55am ET $9.78 703 $6,871.83 $6,881.18 $-362.04
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2025 9:30am ET $12.48 551 $6,877.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET $11.21 551 $6,173.96 $6,177.50 $-703.68
(-10.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 9:30am ET $13.12 471 $6,177.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 11:30am ET $12.43 471 $5,854.53 $5,854.86 $-322.64
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 9:30am ET $12.76 458 $5,844.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 9:45am ET $14.68 458 $6,721.15 $6,731.93 +$877.07
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 9:30am ET $12.23 550 $6,723.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 11:50am ET $11.61 550 $6,385.50 $6,393.57 $-338.36
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $15.77 405 $6,386.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 12:35pm ET $18.19 405 $7,367.64 $7,374.32 +$980.75
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 9:30am ET $18.48 399 $7,371.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $17.15 399 $6,842.85 $6,845.64 $-528.68
(-7.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 9:30am ET $17.30 395 $6,831.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 2:45pm ET $19.91 395 $7,864.45 $7,878.13 +$1,032.49
(+15.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $20.37 386 $7,862.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 9:35am ET $23.88 386 $9,215.75 $9,231.18 +$1,353.05
(+17.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $20.86 442 $9,220.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 10:20am ET $19.77 442 $8,738.34 $8,749.40 $-481.78
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET $20.52 426 $8,741.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $19.39 426 $8,260.14 $8,268.02 $-481.38
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $17.72 466 $8,257.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $16.64 466 $7,753.54 $7,764.04 $-503.98
(-6.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $14.07 551 $7,752.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET $13.37 551 $7,364.12 $7,375.58 $-388.46
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET $15.78 467 $7,366.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 10:30am ET $14.95 467 $6,979.32 $6,987.97 $-387.61
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $13.55 515 $6,975.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 3:50pm ET $12.78 515 $6,581.70 $6,593.99 $-393.98
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.3d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $14.68 449 $6,591.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $16.98 449 $7,624.02 $7,626.65 +$1,032.66
(+15.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $17.97 424 $7,619.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:30pm ET $17.03 424 $7,220.72 $7,228.09 $-398.56
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $13.10 551 $7,220.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET $15.12 551 $8,331.62 $8,338.85 +$1,110.76
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $17.04 489 $8,332.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 12:25pm ET $16.17 489 $7,909.57 $7,915.86 $-422.99
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $15.14 522 $7,903.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 1:35pm ET $14.35 522 $7,488.09 $7,500.87 $-414.99
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $15.49 484 $7,497.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.99 484 $8,707.16 $8,710.87 +$1,210.00
(+16.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.53 496 $8,694.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET $16.52 496 $8,192.68 $8,208.67 $-502.20
(-5.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,208.67
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,791.33
Total Return: -17.91%
Back to Bruno Breakout