SOXL Bruno Breakout's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 41 trades in period
+149.40%
Last Year Return
$25,785.40
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$10,339.11
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
34
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.7/35
Total Return
17.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
35.6/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 34.4
30-Day Momentum
60
+86.8%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 91.4
Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+26 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,317
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
251 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$10,339.11
Current Value
$25,785.40
Period P&L
$15,446.29
Max Drawdown
-44.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
16 /
25
Best Trade
+27.79%
Worst Trade
-10.60%
Avg Trade Return
+2.83%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,024,902.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$15,446.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$15,446.29
Gross Return
+149.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+149.40%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 251 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,339.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $13.25 | 816 | $10,812.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.50 | 816 | $10,199.59 | $10,208.14 |
$-613.14 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2025 3:40pm ET | $13.25 | 770 | $10,201.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $16.93 | 770 | $13,036.10 | $13,042.66 |
+$2,834.52 (+27.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.7d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $17.73 | 735 | $13,027.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 3:15pm ET | $16.84 | 735 | $12,373.73 | $12,388.51 |
$-654.15 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $17.38 | 713 | $12,388.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $15.64 | 713 | $11,151.39 | $11,151.53 |
$-1,236.98 (-10.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $16.71 | 667 | $11,145.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2025 10:25am ET | $19.22 | 667 | $12,819.87 | $12,825.90 |
+$1,674.37 (+15.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $19.48 | 658 | $12,817.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $23.77 | 658 | $15,637.37 | $15,645.43 |
+$2,819.53 (+22.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.04 | 600 | $15,624.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2025 10:25am ET | $24.66 | 600 | $14,793.00 | $14,814.43 |
$-831.00 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.61 | 536 | $14,798.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.21 | 536 | $14,048.56 | $14,064.03 |
$-750.40 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $28.10 | 500 | $14,047.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.12 | 500 | $13,059.90 | $13,076.43 |
$-987.60 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.91 | 485 | $13,051.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $25.22 | 485 | $12,231.70 | $12,256.78 |
$-819.65 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $25.11 | 488 | $12,254.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $23.72 | 488 | $11,575.36 | $11,577.73 |
$-679.05 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.81 | 416 | $11,567.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 10:25am ET | $26.39 | 416 | $10,978.20 | $10,988.42 |
$-589.31 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.94 | 393 | $10,980.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $25.95 | 393 | $10,197.76 | $10,205.76 |
$-782.66 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.87 | 379 | $10,181.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $31.22 | 379 | $11,832.38 | $11,856.31 |
+$1,650.55 (+16.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.48 | 343 | $11,826.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $32.63 | 343 | $11,192.09 | $11,221.76 |
$-634.55 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.96 | 312 | $11,217.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.87 | 312 | $13,373.88 | $13,377.68 |
+$2,155.92 (+19.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $41.85 | 319 | $13,350.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $37.42 | 319 | $11,935.58 | $11,963.11 |
$-1,414.57 (-10.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $38.76 | 308 | $11,938.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 11:45am ET | $36.81 | 308 | $11,337.48 | $11,362.51 |
$-600.60 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.92 | 277 | $11,334.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $37.06 | 277 | $10,265.62 | $10,293.29 |
$-1,069.22 (-9.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.89 | 251 | $10,263.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 12:20pm ET | $47.03 | 251 | $11,804.53 | $11,834.61 |
+$1,541.32 (+15.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $49.72 | 238 | $11,833.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $47.08 | 238 | $11,203.85 | $11,205.10 |
$-629.51 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $47.90 | 233 | $11,160.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $44.54 | 233 | $10,378.87 | $10,423.27 |
$-781.83 (-7.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.00 | 231 | $10,393.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.29 | 231 | $9,768.99 | $9,798.41 |
$-624.86 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.11 | 279 | $9,795.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.16 | 279 | $8,973.31 | $8,976.03 |
$-822.38 (-8.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.80 | 250 | $8,948.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $41.52 | 250 | $10,381.03 | $10,408.31 |
+$1,432.28 (+16.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.78 | 227 | $10,393.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.21 | 227 | $9,581.60 | $9,596.85 |
$-811.46 (-7.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $38.86 | 246 | $9,558.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.50 | 246 | $11,684.04 | $11,722.56 |
+$2,125.71 (+22.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.49 | 219 | $11,714.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.42 | 219 | $10,821.89 | $10,830.13 |
$-892.43 (-7.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.12 | 196 | $10,802.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.92 | 196 | $12,528.32 | $12,555.91 |
+$1,725.78 (+16.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.50 | 191 | $12,510.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $62.07 | 191 | $11,855.37 | $11,900.78 |
$-655.13 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.49 | 206 | $11,843.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $63.33 | 206 | $13,045.98 | $13,102.79 |
+$1,202.01 (+10.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $68.44 | 191 | $13,071.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $64.00 | 191 | $12,224.02 | $12,255.07 |
$-847.72 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.21 | 218 | $12,253.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 12:35pm ET | $53.38 | 218 | $11,636.84 | $11,638.13 |
$-616.94 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.14 | 223 | $11,627.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.06 | 223 | $10,940.38 | $10,951.27 |
$-686.86 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.38 | 201 | $10,930.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET | $51.07 | 201 | $10,265.47 | $10,286.36 |
$-664.91 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.83 | 240 | $10,278.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.97 | 240 | $11,994.00 | $12,002.36 |
+$1,716.00 (+16.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.63 | 219 | $11,963.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.65 | 219 | $14,596.04 | $14,634.43 |
+$2,632.07 (+22.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.81 | 195 | $14,587.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $86.11 | 195 | $16,791.29 | $16,837.77 |
+$2,203.34 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $98.35 | 171 | $16,817.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET | $113.27 | 171 | $19,369.17 | $19,389.94 |
+$2,552.17 (+15.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.74 | 168 | $19,276.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.79 | 168 | $22,308.72 | $22,422.34 |
+$3,032.40 (+15.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $135.62 | 165 | $22,376.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.00 | 165 | $25,740.00 | $25,785.40 |
+$3,363.06 (+15.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$25,785.40
Net Profit/Loss:
+$15,785.40
Total Return:
+157.85%