Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 15:28:52

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.9/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
1.3/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 28.5/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 22.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,282.50
Current Value
$15,022.63
Period P&L
$-259.87
Max Drawdown
-35.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+15.66%
Worst Trade
-5.40%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$112,611.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-259.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-259.87
Gross Return
-1.70%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $15,282.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $59.65 256 $15,271.68
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:50pm ET $56.67 256 $14,506.24 $14,517.06 $-765.44
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $59.61 243 $14,485.23
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET $56.39 243 $13,702.77 $13,734.60 $-782.46
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $44.86 306 $13,727.16
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $42.44 306 $12,986.64 $12,994.08 $-740.52
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $44.66 290 $12,951.40
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 10:00am ET $51.65 290 $14,979.95 $15,022.63 +$2,028.55
(+15.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,022.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,022.63
Total Return: +50.23%
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