Compendium › Bruno Breakout › TQQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TQQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 4 trades in period

+28.12%
Last 3 Months Return
$29,492.60
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$23,019.37
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:23:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
29.4/35
Total Return
19.0/25
Win Rate
3.1/15
Profit Factor
7.3/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 65.7/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 47.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,895
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$23,019.37
Current Value
$29,492.60
Period P&L
$6,473.23
Max Drawdown
-23.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.55

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+24.20%
Worst Trade
-5.50%
Avg Trade Return
+7.17%
Avg Hold Time
8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$188,309.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,473.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,473.23
Gross Return
+28.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+28.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $23,019.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $47.35 486 $23,014.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $44.75 486 $21,748.50 $21,753.34 $-1,266.03
(-5.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $45.06 482 $21,718.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET $42.71 482 $20,585.50 $20,619.92 $-1,133.42
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $39.25 525 $20,606.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $48.75 525 $25,593.75 $25,607.42 +$4,987.50
(+24.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $57.87 442 $25,578.54 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $66.66 442 $29,463.72 $29,492.60 +$3,885.18
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $29,492.60
Net Profit/Loss: +$19,492.60
Total Return: +194.93%
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