Compendium › Bruno Breakout › COP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COP
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-12-20 to present • 3 trades in period

-1.28%
Last 6 Months Return
$7,873.42
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$7,975.42
Period Start
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PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-20 16:30:27

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 20%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.3/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
2.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.4/10
Raw Quality 59.9/100
× Confidence 0.20 = 12.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (20%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,443
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$7,975.42
Current Value
$7,873.42
Period P&L
$-102.00
Max Drawdown
-22.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+11.80%
Worst Trade
-6.97%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
19.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$50,280.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-102.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-102.00
Gross Return
-1.28%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $7,975.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $94.29 84 $7,920.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $105.42 84 $8,854.86 $8,909.92 +$934.50
(+11.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $119.26 74 $8,825.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $113.21 74 $8,377.54 $8,462.22 $-447.70
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $131.96 64 $8,445.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $122.76 64 $7,856.64 $7,873.42 $-588.80
(-7.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,873.42
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,126.58
Total Return: -21.27%
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