Compendium › Bruno Breakout › HD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
HD
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 3 trades in period

-14.12%
Last 6 Months Return
$7,759.28
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$9,034.80
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:03:58

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 4, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 14%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
48.4/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 71.7/100
× Confidence 0.14 = 10.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (14%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,397
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
136 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,034.80
Current Value
$7,759.28
Period P&L
$-1,275.52
Max Drawdown
-14.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-261.60

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
-5.02%
Worst Trade
-5.06%
Avg Trade Return
-5.05%
Avg Hold Time
16.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$49,267.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,275.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,275.52
Gross Return
-14.12%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 136 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $9,034.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $365.12 24 $8,762.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 12:10pm ET $346.78 24 $8,322.72 $8,594.76 $-440.04
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $389.50 22 $8,569.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:40am ET $369.78 22 $8,135.16 $8,160.92 $-433.84
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $330.82 24 $7,939.68 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $314.08 24 $7,538.04 $7,759.28 $-401.64
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
42.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,759.28
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,240.72
Total Return: -22.41%
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