Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:38

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.7/35
Total Return
17.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 35.6/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 34.4

30-Day Momentum

60
+86.8%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 91.4 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+26 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,864
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
123 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,974.43
Current Value
$25,785.40
Period P&L
$14,810.97
Max Drawdown
-44.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.42

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
10 / 10
Best Trade
+22.24%
Worst Trade
-8.40%
Avg Trade Return
+4.93%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$515,190.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$14,810.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$14,810.97
Gross Return
+134.96%
Net Return (after fees)
+134.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 123 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,974.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET $47.90 233 $11,160.70
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $44.54 233 $10,378.87 $10,423.27 $-781.83
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $45.00 231 $10,393.85
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $42.29 231 $9,768.99 $9,798.41 $-624.86
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $35.11 279 $9,795.69
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $32.16 279 $8,973.31 $8,976.03 $-822.38
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $35.80 250 $8,948.75
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $41.52 250 $10,381.03 $10,408.31 +$1,432.28
(+16.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $45.78 227 $10,393.06
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $42.21 227 $9,581.60 $9,596.85 $-811.46
(-7.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $38.86 246 $9,558.33
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $47.50 246 $11,684.04 $11,722.56 +$2,125.71
(+22.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
15d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $53.49 219 $11,714.31
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $49.42 219 $10,821.89 $10,830.13 $-892.43
(-7.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $55.12 196 $10,802.54
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $63.92 196 $12,528.32 $12,555.91 +$1,725.78
(+16.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $65.50 191 $12,510.50
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:10am ET $62.07 191 $11,855.37 $11,900.78 $-655.13
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $57.49 206 $11,843.97
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $63.33 206 $13,045.98 $13,102.79 +$1,202.01
(+10.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $68.44 191 $13,071.73
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET $64.00 191 $12,224.02 $12,255.07 $-847.72
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $56.21 218 $12,253.78
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $53.38 218 $11,636.84 $11,638.13 $-616.94
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $52.14 223 $11,627.24
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $49.06 223 $10,940.38 $10,951.27 $-686.86
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $54.38 201 $10,930.38
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET $51.07 201 $10,265.47 $10,286.36 $-664.91
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $42.83 240 $10,278.00
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $49.97 240 $11,994.00 $12,002.36 +$1,716.00
(+16.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $54.63 219 $11,963.97
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $66.65 219 $14,596.04 $14,634.43 +$2,632.07
(+22.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $74.81 195 $14,587.95
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET $86.11 195 $16,791.29 $16,837.77 +$2,203.34
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $98.35 171 $16,817.00
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET $113.27 171 $19,369.17 $19,389.94 +$2,552.17
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $114.74 168 $19,276.32
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $132.79 168 $22,308.72 $22,422.34 +$3,032.40
(+15.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
20 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $135.62 165 $22,376.94
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $156.00 165 $25,740.00 $25,785.40 +$3,363.06
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,785.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,785.40
Total Return: +157.85%
Back to Bruno Breakout