Compendium › Bruno Breakout › TSLA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TSLA
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-19.13%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,659.42
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$15,653.66
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:03:14

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.4/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 20.5/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 15.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,664
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,653.66
Current Value
$12,659.42
Period P&L
$-2,994.24
Max Drawdown
-27.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-38.14

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
0 / 4
Best Trade
-5.10%
Worst Trade
-5.44%
Avg Trade Return
-5.22%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$111,616.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,994.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,994.24
Gross Return
-19.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $15,653.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $419.17 37 $15,509.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:45pm ET $397.21 37 $14,696.77 $14,841.14 $-812.52
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $474.97 31 $14,724.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 3:00pm ET $450.69 31 $13,971.24 $14,088.30 $-752.84
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
16.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $450.77 31 $13,973.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $426.23 31 $13,213.13 $13,327.58 $-760.72
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $363.84 36 $13,098.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $345.28 36 $12,430.08 $12,659.42 $-668.16
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,659.42
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,659.42
Total Return: +26.59%
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