COIN Bruno Breakout's Analysis
2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 15:20:00+00 • 51 trades executed
-11.25%
2 Years Return
$11,679.93
Current Value
28%
Win Rate
$13,160.40
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
14
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.3/35
Total Return
10.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
16.7/100
× Confidence 0.84
= 14.0
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
82,543
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$13,160.40
Current Value
$11,679.93
Total P&L
$-1,480.47
Max Drawdown
-46.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
39
Winners / Losers
11 /
28
Best Trade
+18.58%
Worst Trade
-9.48%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
5.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$981,528.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,480.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,480.47
Gross Return
-11.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.25%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $13,160.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $215.83 | 60 | $12,949.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 16, 2024 12:30pm ET | $203.85 | 60 | $12,231.00 | $12,441.60 |
$-718.80 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2024 9:30am ET | $232.12 | 53 | $12,302.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2024 9:30am ET | $219.14 | 53 | $11,614.42 | $11,753.66 |
$-687.94 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2024 9:30am ET | $231.98 | 50 | $11,599.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $209.99 | 50 | $10,499.50 | $10,654.15 |
$-1,099.51 (-9.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2024 9:30am ET | $231.72 | 45 | $10,427.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2024 10:05am ET | $266.63 | 45 | $11,998.35 | $12,225.10 |
+$1,570.95 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 26, 2024 9:30am ET | $243.45 | 50 | $12,172.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2024 10:45am ET | $230.92 | 50 | $11,546.00 | $11,598.60 |
$-626.50 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2024 9:30am ET | $151.70 | 76 | $11,529.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2024 11:25am ET | $174.97 | 76 | $13,297.72 | $13,367.12 |
+$1,768.52 (+15.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 4, 2024 9:30am ET | $168.74 | 79 | $13,330.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2024 2:20pm ET | $194.48 | 79 | $15,363.53 | $15,400.19 |
+$2,033.07 (+15.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2024 9:30am ET | $202.68 | 75 | $15,201.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2024 10:50am ET | $192.00 | 75 | $14,400.00 | $14,599.19 |
$-801.00 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $227.88 | 64 | $14,584.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 8, 2024 9:30am ET | $263.00 | 64 | $16,831.90 | $16,846.67 |
+$2,247.48 (+15.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET | $306.22 | 55 | $16,842.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2024 2:30pm ET | $290.05 | 55 | $15,952.75 | $15,957.32 |
$-889.35 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2024 9:30am ET | $339.96 | 46 | $15,638.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2024 10:05am ET | $315.73 | 46 | $14,523.64 | $14,842.80 |
$-1,114.52 (-7.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
36m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2024 9:30am ET | $317.52 | 46 | $14,605.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2024 11:35am ET | $300.34 | 46 | $13,815.64 | $14,052.74 |
$-790.06 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2024 9:30am ET | $319.96 | 43 | $13,758.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 10:00am ET | $303.00 | 43 | $13,029.00 | $13,323.46 |
$-729.28 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $261.54 | 50 | $13,076.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2025 1:35pm ET | $301.60 | 50 | $15,080.00 | $15,326.71 |
+$2,003.25 (+15.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.2d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $284.98 | 53 | $15,104.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2025 11:55am ET | $270.45 | 53 | $14,333.85 | $14,556.52 |
$-770.19 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $284.47 | 51 | $14,507.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2025 9:45am ET | $270.24 | 51 | $13,782.24 | $13,830.79 |
$-725.73 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $264.42 | 52 | $13,749.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 21, 2025 12:15pm ET | $251.08 | 52 | $13,056.16 | $13,137.11 |
$-693.68 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $219.48 | 59 | $12,949.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2025 3:15pm ET | $208.23 | 59 | $12,285.57 | $12,473.36 |
$-663.75 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $230.33 | 54 | $12,437.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2025 10:55am ET | $217.30 | 54 | $11,734.20 | $11,769.74 |
$-703.62 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $196.66 | 59 | $11,602.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $185.56 | 59 | $10,948.04 | $11,114.99 |
$-654.75 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $163.79 | 67 | $10,973.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2025 12:35pm ET | $155.60 | 67 | $10,425.20 | $10,566.26 |
$-548.73 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET | $162.92 | 64 | $10,426.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2025 10:20am ET | $188.47 | 64 | $12,062.01 | $12,201.71 |
+$1,635.45 (+15.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $204.31 | 59 | $12,054.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $236.55 | 59 | $13,956.45 | $14,104.17 |
+$1,902.46 (+15.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $262.23 | 53 | $13,898.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 2:10pm ET | $248.40 | 53 | $13,165.20 | $13,371.18 |
$-732.99 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2025 11:25am ET | $265.00 | 50 | $13,250.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $305.66 | 50 | $15,283.00 | $15,404.18 |
+$2,033.00 (+15.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $367.68 | 41 | $15,074.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2025 10:20am ET | $346.67 | 41 | $14,213.27 | $14,542.45 |
$-861.73 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $428.80 | 33 | $14,150.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2025 9:45am ET | $405.94 | 33 | $13,396.02 | $13,788.07 |
$-754.38 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $313.28 | 44 | $13,784.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2025 9:45am ET | $295.80 | 44 | $13,015.20 | $13,018.95 |
$-769.12 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $356.32 | 36 | $12,827.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $338.46 | 36 | $12,184.56 | $12,375.99 |
$-642.96 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $336.97 | 36 | $12,130.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $315.21 | 36 | $11,347.56 | $11,592.63 |
$-783.36 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $322.57 | 35 | $11,289.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 3:05pm ET | $305.71 | 35 | $10,699.85 | $11,002.53 |
$-590.10 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $272.06 | 40 | $10,882.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:25am ET | $257.36 | 40 | $10,294.40 | $10,414.53 |
$-588.00 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $252.46 | 41 | $10,350.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $239.20 | 41 | $9,807.20 | $9,870.87 |
$-543.66 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $248.95 | 39 | $9,709.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $231.88 | 39 | $9,043.44 | $9,205.26 |
$-665.61 (-6.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.11 | 58 | $9,054.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $163.04 | 58 | $9,456.32 | $9,607.32 |
+$402.06 (+4.4%) |
📅 Sim Ended
4.3d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $171.76 | 55 | $9,446.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $203.68 | 55 | $11,202.13 | $11,362.65 |
+$1,755.33 (+18.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $203.68 | 55 | $11,202.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $190.04 | 55 | $10,452.20 | $10,612.45 |
$-750.20 (-6.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.45 | 64 | $10,524.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:05am ET | $190.62 | 64 | $12,199.68 | $12,287.33 |
+$1,674.88 (+15.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $205.16 | 59 | $12,104.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $194.87 | 59 | $11,497.04 | $11,679.93 |
$-607.40 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,679.93
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,679.93
Total Return:
+16.80%