Compendium › Bruno Breakout › IBM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IBM
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 14:05:00+00 • 7 trades executed

+1.17%
2 Years Return
$10,467.28
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,346.38
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:34

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

44
Lifetime
Confidence: 12%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
52.2/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
54.5/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
45.4/10
Raw Quality 366.3/100
× Confidence 0.12 = 44.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (12%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
50,063
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
529 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,346.38
Current Value
$10,467.28
Total P&L
$120.90
Max Drawdown
-9.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+15.16%
Worst Trade
-8.12%
Avg Trade Return
+0.49%
Avg Hold Time
26.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$127,397.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$120.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$120.90
Gross Return
+1.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 529 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $10,346.38 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $213.09 48 $10,228.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2024 9:30am ET $222.26 48 $10,668.48 $10,786.54 +$440.16
(+4.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2025 9:30am ET $247.16 43 $10,627.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2025 9:30am ET $251.83 43 $10,828.69 $10,987.35 +$200.81
(+1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
46d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $247.13 44 $10,873.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 9:30am ET $227.07 44 $9,991.08 $10,104.93 $-882.42
(-8.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $274.05 36 $9,865.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 11:00am ET $315.59 36 $11,361.28 $11,600.41 +$1,495.48
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
33.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $323.17 35 $11,310.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:25pm ET $306.72 35 $10,735.20 $11,024.66 $-575.75
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $298.10 36 $10,731.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:50am ET $282.62 36 $10,174.32 $10,467.28 $-557.38
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
30d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,467.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$467.28
Total Return: +4.67%
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