Compendium › Bruno Breakout › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Bruno Breakout's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 15:10:00+00 • 25 trades executed

+83.07%
2 Years Return
$24,949.09
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$13,628.05
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:15:19

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
22.8/35
Total Return
18.1/25
Win Rate
3.0/15
Profit Factor
4.6/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 54.8/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 41.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
88,644
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$13,628.05
Current Value
$24,949.09
Total P&L
$11,321.04
Max Drawdown
-22.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
23
Winners / Losers
10 / 13
Best Trade
+17.34%
Worst Trade
-7.27%
Avg Trade Return
+3.14%
Avg Hold Time
15.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$938,620.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$11,321.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$11,321.04
Gross Return
+83.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+83.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Bruno Breakout had $13,628.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 23, 2024 9:30am ET $102.98 132 $13,593.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2024 9:45am ET $118.86 132 $15,689.55 $15,723.85 +$2,095.80
(+15.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 20, 2024 9:30am ET $139.22 112 $15,592.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2024 1:00pm ET $131.83 112 $14,764.96 $14,896.55 $-827.30
(-5.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2024 9:30am ET $111.35 133 $14,808.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $103.25 133 $13,732.24 $13,819.90 $-1,076.65
(-7.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2024 9:30am ET $103.22 133 $13,728.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2024 9:35am ET $119.29 133 $15,864.91 $15,956.55 +$2,136.65
(+15.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2024 9:30am ET $106.17 150 $15,924.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2024 9:30am ET $122.69 150 $18,403.50 $18,435.15 +$2,478.60
(+15.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2024 9:30am ET $126.39 145 $18,326.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 27, 2024 11:20am ET $119.92 145 $17,388.40 $17,497.00 $-938.15
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2024 9:30am ET $121.93 143 $17,435.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2024 9:50am ET $140.84 143 $20,139.41 $20,201.13 +$2,704.13
(+15.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $143.31 140 $20,063.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2024 3:50pm ET $136.06 140 $19,048.40 $19,186.13 $-1,015.00
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.3d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 9:30am ET $134.12 143 $19,179.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 9:35am ET $126.17 143 $18,041.60 $18,048.56 $-1,137.57
(-5.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2025 9:30am ET $122.14 147 $17,954.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2025 9:30am ET $143.02 147 $21,023.94 $21,118.04 +$3,069.48
(+17.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2025 9:30am ET $115.13 183 $21,067.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 28, 2025 10:25am ET $109.28 183 $19,998.02 $20,048.19 $-1,069.85
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $99.21 202 $20,040.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET $93.56 202 $18,899.12 $18,906.89 $-1,141.30
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $106.99 176 $18,829.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 2:35pm ET $101.21 176 $17,813.40 $17,890.93 $-1,015.96
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $103.85 172 $17,862.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $121.86 172 $20,959.06 $20,987.79 +$3,096.86
(+17.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19d held
15 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 9:30am ET $125.64 167 $20,981.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 10:30am ET $144.78 167 $24,177.43 $24,183.34 +$3,195.55
(+15.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
27d held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2025 9:30am ET $163.37 148 $24,178.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET $177.12 148 $26,213.02 $26,217.60 +$2,034.26
(+8.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $177.37 147 $26,073.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $190.12 147 $27,947.64 $28,091.85 +$1,874.25
(+7.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held
18 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET $210.79 133 $28,035.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 12:15pm ET $199.95 133 $26,592.69 $26,649.46 $-1,442.39
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $194.33 137 $26,623.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:35pm ET $184.23 137 $25,239.51 $25,265.32 $-1,384.14
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
20 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $192.80 131 $25,256.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:30pm ET $183.03 131 $23,976.93 $23,985.45 $-1,279.87
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
21 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $182.09 131 $23,853.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET $172.98 131 $22,660.38 $22,792.04 $-1,193.41
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21d held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $187.12 121 $22,641.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:35pm ET $177.65 121 $21,496.25 $21,646.77 $-1,145.27
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.2d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.60 117 $21,598.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $212.82 117 $24,900.52 $24,949.09 +$3,302.32
(+15.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $24,949.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$14,949.09
Total Return: +149.49%
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